Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

Early season: only 2 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

1Jahmyr GibbsRB · DETvsNYJMUST STARTDET expected to score ~28, a strong spot41.4
scored · proj 26.9MUST START
Recent form
34
23
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 19.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NYJ vs RBs
14% more points
Last game snaps
83%
Why we say must start
- Projected 26.9 points, #1 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- NYJ's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 22.5 carries and 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 26.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Christian McCaffreyRB · SFvsARIMUST STARTSF expected to score ~28, a strong spot21.6
scored · proj 24.1MUST START
Recent form
14
23
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 21.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 7.5
Game total
48.5
ARI vs RBs
8% more points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say must start
- Projected 24.1 points, #2 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- SF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 10 carries and 6 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 24.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Kenneth Walker III▲RB · KC@MIAMUST STARTScored 23.8 last game, typical 10.121.3
scored · proj 23.5MUST START
Recent form
34
24
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 10.1 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 10
Game total
45.5
MIA vs RBs
21% more points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say must start
- Projected 23.5 points, #3 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 23.8 points last game against a typical 10.1 (trending up).
- MIA's defense has allowed 21% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 23.5 carries and 8 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 23.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Derrick HenryRB · BAL@DALMUST STARTDAL allow 14% more points to RBs21.9
scored · proj 21.8MUST START
Recent form
35
18
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 14.7 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 3
Game total
53.5
DAL vs RBs
14% more points
Last game snaps
53%
Why we say must start
- Projected 21.8 points, #4 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- DAL's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 20 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 53% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 21.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Jonathan Taylor▲RB · INDvsHOUMUST STARTScored 29.2 last game, typical 19.19.2
scored · proj 20.5MUST START
Recent form
25
29
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 19.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsHOUGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
IND underdogs by 1.5
Game total
41.5
HOU vs RBs
15% fewer points
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say must start
- Projected 20.5 points, #5 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 29.2 points last game against a typical 19.1 (trending up).
- Concern: HOU's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 21.5 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 20.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Bijan Robinson▼RB · ATL@GBMUST STARTProjected 19.1 · #6 among RBs35.3
scored · proj 19.1MUST START
Recent form
31
11
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 19.5 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 4.5
Game total
43.5
GB vs RBs
League average
Last game snaps
51%
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.1 points, #6 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: ATL's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 18.5 carries and 7 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 19.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
7D'Andre SwiftRB · CHIvsPHIMUST STARTProjected 16.6 · #7 among RBs10.8
scored · proj 16.6MUST START
Recent form
32
13
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsPHIGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs RBs
League average
Last game snaps
68%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.6 points, #7 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: CHI's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 17 carries and 3 targets a game.
- Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Ashton JeantyRB · LV@NOMUST STARTProjected 16.4 · #8 among RBs12.3
scored · proj 16.4MUST START
Recent form
33
10
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.9 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NO vs RBs
3% more points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.4 points, #8 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Averaging 22 carries and 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
9James Cook▲RB · BUFvsLACSTARTBUF expected to score ~29, a strong spot19.4
scored · proj 15.7START
Recent form
10
21
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 15.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
50.5
LAC vs RBs
17% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say start
- Projected 15.7 points, #9 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Scored 20.9 points last game against a typical 15.9 (trending up).
- Concern: LAC's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 17 carries and 3.5 targets a game.
Projection 15.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Chase BrownRB · CIN@PITSTARTProjected 15.1 · #10 among RBs8.9
scored · proj 15.1START
Recent form
19
11
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 14.9 a game
This week's matchup
@PITGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PIT vs RBs
4% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say start
- Projected 15.1 points, #10 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 18 carries and 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 15.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Javonte Williams▼RB · DALvsBALSTARTDAL expected to score ~25, a strong spot18.3
scored · proj 14.7START
Recent form
24
8
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 13.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
53.5
BAL vs RBs
4% more points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.7 points, #11 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 8 points last game against a typical 13.5 (trending down).
- Averaging 12 carries and 4.5 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Kyren WilliamsRB · LA@DENSTARTProjected 13.6 · #12 among RBs21.8
scored · proj 13.6START
Recent form
16
16
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 13.9 a game
This week's matchup
@DENGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LA underdogs by 1.5
Game total
43.5
DEN vs RBs
10% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
55%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.6 points, #12 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 11.5 carries and 2.5 targets a game.
- Played 55% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Jaylen WarrenRB · PITvsCINSTARTMore work with Rico Dowdle out20.6
scored · proj 13.2START
Recent form
10
10
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsCINGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
PIT underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
CIN vs RBs
21% more points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
71%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.2 points, #13 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Rico Dowdle out: more work to go around (about +1.2 points).
- CIN's defense has allowed 21% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Concern: PIT's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 10.5 carries and 5 targets a game.
Projection 13.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Omarion Hampton▲RB · LAC@BUFSTARTBUF allow 16% more points to RBs5.6
scored · proj 13.2START
Recent form
8
18
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.3 a game
This week's matchup
@BUFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 7
Game total
50.5
BUF vs RBs
16% more points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
63%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.2 points, #14 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- BUF's defense has allowed 16% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Scored 17.5 points last game against a typical 12.3 (trending up).
- Averaging 17.5 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 63% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.2 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
15Cam SkatteboRB · NYGvsTENSTARTProjected 12.8 · #15 among RBs13.0
scored · proj 12.8START
Recent form
14
10
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYG favored by 2.5
Game total
37.5
TEN vs RBs
1% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
59%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.8 points, #15 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 15 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.8 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
16Saquon Barkley▼RB · PHI@CHISTARTProjected 12.5 · #16 among RBs9.0
scored · proj 12.5START
Recent form
9
3
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.9 a game
This week's matchup
@CHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PHI favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
CHI vs RBs
League average
Last game snaps
16%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.5 points, #16 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Concern: Scored 3 points last game against a typical 12.9 (trending down).
- Averaging 9.5 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 16% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Bucky IrvingRB · TBvsMINSTARTProjected 12.4 · #17 among RBs7.8
scored · proj 12.4START
Recent form
20
13
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 11.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 1.5
Game total
42.5
MIN vs RBs
15% fewer points
Last game snaps
78%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.4 points, #17 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 12.5 carries and 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 78% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
18David Montgomery▼RB · HOU@INDSTARTProjected 12.3 · #18 among RBs6.8
scored · proj 12.3START
Recent form
29
4
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game
This week's matchup
@INDGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 1.5
Game total
41.5
IND vs RBs
5% more points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.3 points, #18 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Concern: Scored 4.4 points last game against a typical 8.8 (trending down).
- Averaging 13 carries and 2.5 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Chuba Hubbard▲RB · CAR@CLESTARTScored 14.4 last game, typical 7.415.0
scored · proj 12.2START
Recent form
24
14
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CAR favored by 2.5
Game total
41.5
CLE vs RBs
4% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
65%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.2 points, #19 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Scored 14.4 points last game against a typical 7.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 11 carries and 2.5 targets a game.
- Played 65% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLEvsCARSTARTCAR allow 22% more points to RBs9.9
scored · proj 10.6START
Recent form
7
10
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 10.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsCARGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
41.5
CAR vs RBs
22% more points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.6 points, #20 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- CAR's defense has allowed 22% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 12 carries and 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Aaron JonesRB · MIN@TBFLEXProjected 9.3 · #21 among RBs14.2
scored · proj 9.3FLEX
Recent form
10
11
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 1.5
Game total
42.5
TB vs RBs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.3 points, #21 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Averaging 17.5 carries and 0.5 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Rhamondre Stevenson▼RB · NE@JAXFLEXProjected 9.3 · #22 among RBs6.8
scored · proj 9.3FLEX
Recent form
15
4
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 11.2 a game
This week's matchup
@JAXGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 3
Game total
46.5
JAX vs RBs
16% fewer points
Last game snaps
36%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.3 points, #22 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: JAX's defense has allowed 16% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 12 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 36% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Tony PollardRB · TEN@NYGFLEXNYG allow 18% more points to RBs13.6
scored · proj 9.0FLEX
Recent form
4
8
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 2.5
Game total
37.5
NYG vs RBs
18% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
55%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.0 points, #23 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- NYG's defense has allowed 18% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Concern: TEN's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 10.5 carries and 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 55% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Alvin KamaraRB · NOvsLVFLEXMore work with Travis Etienne out5.1
scored · proj 9.0FLEX
Recent form
7
W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
LV vs RBs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
29%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.0 points, #24 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Travis Etienne out: more work to go around (about +1.2 points).
- Moves up to No. 1 RB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 9 carries and 6 targets a game.
- Played 29% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
25Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WASvsSEAFLEXMore work with Jayden Daniels and Rachaad White out5.3
scored · proj 8.8FLEX
Recent form
13
6
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsSEAGame page →
Expected team score
~16 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 8.5
Game total
40.5
SEA vs RBs
17% fewer points
Wind
13 mph
Last game snaps
37%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.8 points, #25 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Jayden Daniels and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +2.1 points).
- Concern: WAS's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 14 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 37% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
26TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE@JAXFLEXProjected 8.5 · #26 among RBs3.9
scored · proj 8.5FLEX
Recent form
14
W2
Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
@JAXGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 3
Game total
46.5
JAX vs RBs
16% fewer points
Last game snaps
60%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.5 points, #26 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: JAX's defense has allowed 16% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 16 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 60% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
27J.K. Dobbins▼RB · DENvsLAFLEXProjected 8.5 · #27 among RBs6.3
scored · proj 8.5FLEX
Recent form
4
4
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsLAGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DEN favored by 1.5
Game total
43.5
LA vs RBs
11% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
34%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.5 points, #27 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: Scored 3.6 points last game against a typical 9.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 9 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 34% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
28RJ HarveyRB · DENvsLAFLEXProjected 8.5 · #28 among RBs10.7
scored · proj 8.5FLEX
Recent form
8
W1
Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsLAGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DEN favored by 1.5
Game total
43.5
LA vs RBs
11% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
51%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.5 points, #28 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Averaging 3 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
29Bhayshul Tuten▲RB · JAXvsNEFLEXScored 14.2 last game, typical 5.217.0
scored · proj 8.5FLEX
Recent form
10
14
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 5.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
46.5
NE vs RBs
16% fewer points
Last game snaps
51%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.5 points, #29 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Scored 14.2 points last game against a typical 5.2 (trending up).
- Concern: NE's defense has allowed 16% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 14 carries and 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
30Kyle MonangaiRB · CHIvsPHIFLEXProjected 8.3 · #30 among RBs3.1
scored · proj 8.3FLEX
Recent form
20
8
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsPHIGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs RBs
League average
Last game snaps
34%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.3 points, #30 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: CHI's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 10 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 34% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
31Kenny Gainwell▼RB · TBvsMINFLEXProjected 7.5 · #31 among RBs3.0
scored · proj 7.5FLEX
Recent form
3
5
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 11.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 1.5
Game total
42.5
MIN vs RBs
15% fewer points
Last game snaps
35%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.5 points, #31 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: Scored 4.5 points last game against a typical 11.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 3.5 carries and 2.5 targets a game.
- Played 35% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 7.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
32Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARI@SFFLEXProjected 6.9 · #32 among RBs21.9
scored · proj 6.9FLEX
Recent form
13
8
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
ARI underdogs by 7.5
Game total
48.5
SF vs RBs
6% more points
Last game snaps
40%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.9 points, #32 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Averaging 10 carries and 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 40% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
33Emanuel Wilson▲RB · SEA@WASBENCHProjected 6.5 · 0.4 behind #321.4
scored · proj 6.5BENCH
Recent form
0
9
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 5.0 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 8.5
Game total
40.5
WAS vs RBs
3% more points
Wind
13 mph
Last game snaps
41%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.5 points, #33 among RBs this week, 0.4 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Jadarian Price out: more work to go around (about +1.3 points).
- Averaging 11.5 carries and 0.5 targets a game.
- Played 41% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
34Woody MarksRB · HOU@INDBENCHProjected 6.4 · 0.5 behind #329.1
scored · proj 6.4BENCH
Recent form
5
9
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 8.1 a game
This week's matchup
@INDGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 1.5
Game total
41.5
IND vs RBs
5% more points
Last game snaps
48%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.4 points, #34 among RBs this week, 0.5 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 8.5 carries and 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
35Braelon Allen▲RB · NYJ@DETBENCHProjected 6.2 · 0.7 behind #324.7
scored · proj 6.2BENCH
Recent form
4
9
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 2.6 a game
This week's matchup
@DETGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYJ underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
DET vs RBs
8% fewer points
Last game snaps
31%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.2 points, #35 among RBs this week, 0.7 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 8.5 points last game against a typical 2.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 7.5 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 31% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.2 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
36Emmett JohnsonRB · KC@MIABENCHProjected 5.9 · 1.0 behind #321.7
scored · proj 5.9BENCH
Recent form
9
6
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 10
Game total
45.5
MIA vs RBs
21% more points
Last game snaps
18%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.9 points, #36 among RBs this week, 1.0 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: MIA's defense has allowed 21% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 5 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 18% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 5.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
37MarShawn LloydRB · GBvsATLBENCHProjected 5.8 · 1.1 behind #323.8
scored · proj 5.8BENCH
Recent form
4
9
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 4.5
Game total
43.5
ATL vs RBs
7% fewer points
Last game snaps
27%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.8 points, #37 among RBs this week, 1.1 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 9.5 carries and 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 27% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.8 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
38Blake CorumRB · LA@DENBENCHProjected 5.4 · 1.5 behind #323.5
scored · proj 5.4BENCH
Recent form
5
10
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game
This week's matchup
@DENGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LA underdogs by 1.5
Game total
43.5
DEN vs RBs
10% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
45%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.4 points, #38 among RBs this week, 1.5 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 11 carries and 0.5 targets a game.
- Played 45% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
39Tyler AllgeierRB · ARI@SFBENCHProjected 5.2 · 1.7 behind #324.9
scored · proj 5.2BENCH
Recent form
9
4
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
ARI underdogs by 7.5
Game total
48.5
SF vs RBs
6% more points
Last game snaps
64%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.2 points, #39 among RBs this week, 1.7 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 11 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 64% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 5.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
40Devin Singletary▼RB · NYGvsTENBENCHScored 0.9 last game, typical 5.75.2
3–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
14
1
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 5.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYG favored by 2.5
Game total
37.5
TEN vs RBs
1% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
26%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.2 points, #40 among RBs this week, 1.7 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 0.9 points last game against a typical 5.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 4.5 carries and 2.5 targets a game.
- Played 26% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 5.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
41Kaelon BlackRB · SFvsARIBENCHProjected 5.0 · #41 among RBs1.7
scored · proj 5.0BENCH
Recent form
8
3
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 7.5
Game total
48.5
ARI vs RBs
8% more points
Last game snaps
33%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.0 points, #41 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Upside: SF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 10.5 carries and 0.5 targets a game.
- Played 33% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 5.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
42Justice HillRB · BAL@DALBENCHProjected 4.5 · #42 among RBs3.3
scored · proj 4.5BENCH
Recent form
4
4
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 5.4 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 3
Game total
53.5
DAL vs RBs
14% more points
Last game snaps
47%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.5 points, #42 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Upside: DAL's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 4 carries and 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 47% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
43Tank Bigsby▲RB · PHI@CHIBENCHProjected 4.3 · #43 among RBs-0.5
scored · proj 4.3BENCH
Recent form
0
12
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 3.2 a game
This week's matchup
@CHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PHI favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
CHI vs RBs
League average
Last game snaps
34%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #43 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Upside: Scored 11.8 points last game against a typical 3.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 7 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 34% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
44Tyrone Tracy Jr.▼RB · NYGvsTENBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 9.50.3
scored · proj 4.3BENCH
Recent form
-1
0
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYG favored by 2.5
Game total
37.5
TEN vs RBs
1% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
2%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #44 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 9.5 (trending down).
- Averaging 1 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 2% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 4 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
45DJ HermanRB · MIAvsKCBENCHMIA expected to score only ~18, a tough spot0.0
scored · proj 4.2BENCH
Recent form
3
W2
Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 10
Game total
45.5
KC vs RBs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
29%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #45 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 0 carries and 3 targets a game.
- Played 29% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
46Chris Rodriguez Jr.▼RB · JAXvsNEBENCHScored 1.3 last game, typical 6.69.7
scored · proj 4.2BENCH
Recent form
2
1
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 6.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
46.5
NE vs RBs
16% fewer points
Last game snaps
22%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #46 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Scored 1.3 points last game against a typical 6.6 (trending down).
- NE's defense has allowed 16% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 6 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 22% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
47Jaylen WrightRB · MIAvsKCBENCHMIA expected to score only ~18, a tough spot4.2
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
-0
1
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 10
Game total
45.5
KC vs RBs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
5%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #47 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 RB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 1.5 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 5% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.2 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
48Samaje PerineRB · CIN@PITBENCHProjected 4.1 · #48 among RBs2.4
scored · proj 4.1BENCH
Recent form
8
3
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 4.6 a game
This week's matchup
@PITGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PIT vs RBs
4% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
40%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #48 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Averaging 3.5 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 40% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
49Ben VanSumeren▼RB · KC@MIABENCHScored 0 last game, typical 5.50.0
scored · proj 4.0BENCH
Recent form
0
W1
Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 10
Game total
45.5
MIA vs RBs
21% more points
Last game snaps
4%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.0 points, #49 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 5.5 (trending down).
- Upside: MIA's defense has allowed 21% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 0 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 4% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
50Tyjae SpearsQRB · TEN@NYGBENCHQuestionable — ankle injury0.5
scored · proj 4.0BENCH
Recent form
4
9
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 2.5
Game total
37.5
NYG vs RBs
18% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
36%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.0 points, #50 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Questionable — ankle injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, ankle injury. If active, about 6.1 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- TEN's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: NYG's defense has allowed 18% more points to RBs than the league average.
Projection 4.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.