99.0

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Emmett Johnson playing this week?

No injury designation

Emmett Johnson has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the Las Vegas Raiders.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:56 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
BENCH#45 RB this weekHigh confidence

Bench. Projected 4.4 points, #45 among RBs this week.

Why we say bench

  • Projected 4.4 points, #45 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
  • Upside: KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
  • Averaging 5.3 carries and 1.3 targets a game.
  • Played 27% of the offense's snaps last game.
  • No. 2 RB on the depth chart.

Projected points

4.4

Likely range 2–7: the middle half of outcomes

@ LV · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs RBs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
27%

All week 4 running back rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

22

Height

5'10"

Weight

202 lb

College

Nebraska

Experience

Rookie

Draft

2026 · Pick #161 (KC)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 99.0?

Emmett Johnson tops all running backs so far, mainly because he's been highly efficient on every touch, gaining far more than expected on his carries and catches. But this is only 20 touches over two games, so a few plays swing things a lot — like his strong week 1 against Denver versus a quieter week 3 at Miami.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per touch of +0.225 ranks 2nd of 61 backs
  • 50% rushing success rate ranks 8th of 61
  • 25-yard catch-and-run vs Denver in Q4 set up a huge gain

Holding it back

  • Back-to-back stuffed runs for no gain vs Miami late in the 4th quarter

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

-0.013

Success rate

50%

WPA (sum)

0.18

Opponent adj.

-0.026

Plays graded

20

Advanced stats

2026 season · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Rush yds over expected
-11.9
Yds over exp / att
-0.74
Carries over expected
0.3%
Expected rush yds
67.9
Efficiency
4.40
Vs 8+ in the box
37.5%
Time to line
2.78s
What do these mean?
Rush yds over expected:
Rushing yards above what the blocking and defenders in each carry would be expected to produce.
Yds over exp / att:
Rush yards over expected per carry.
Carries over expected:
Share of carries that gained more than expected.
Expected rush yds:
Yards the carries would be expected to gain on average, based on tracking data.
Efficiency:
Distance traveled per yard gained. Lower means a more direct, north-south runner.
Vs 8+ in the box:
Share of carries against eight or more defenders near the line.
Time to line:
Average seconds from the handoff to reaching the line of scrimmage.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

CarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games165604640016.05327%39%99.0

Game log

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GameCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · MIA617000001.71427%50%67.0
Wk 1 · DEN8240244008.82536%21%85.1