Is Kaelon Black playing this week?
No injury designationKaelon Black has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Denver Broncos.
Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET.
Checked Oct 3, 7:31 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.
Ask StatGrades about Kaelon Black
Ask your own questionOur numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.
Fantasy football · Week 4
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
This player isn't in the week 4 fantasy rankings. We rank players who have a game this week and a meaningful projection, so backups and inactive players usually don't appear.
All week 4 running back rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →
Age
24
Height
5'9"
Weight
208 lb
College
Indiana; James Madison
Experience
Rookie
Draft
2026 · Pick #90 (SF)
Status
ACT
Grade Breakdown
What do these mean?Why 53.0?
Black sits right in the middle of the pack because nothing separated him from the average back in either direction. His expected points, win probability and success rate numbers all landed close to average, and the sample is small at 27 touches over 3 games.
Lifting the grade
- Week 1 vs LA: a 14-yard run to the right end in Q3 was worth +1.0 expected points.
- Tougher-than-average defenses earned him a small credit of 0.042 expected points per play.
Holding it back
- Week 3 vs ARI: a 2-yard loss up the middle on 2nd and 10 cost 1.4 expected points.
- Week 2 vs MIA: a 1-yard loss at right guard on 2nd and 4 cost 0.8 expected points.
Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).
EPA / play
-0.091
Success rate
40%
WPA (sum)
-0.00
Opponent adj.
0.042
Plays graded
27
Advanced stats
2026 season through Week 1 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen StatsWhat do these mean?
- Rush yds over expected:
- Rushing yards above what the blocking and defenders in each carry would be expected to produce.
- Yds over exp / att:
- Rush yards over expected per carry.
- Carries over expected:
- Share of carries that gained more than expected.
- Expected rush yds:
- Yards the carries would be expected to gain on average, based on tracking data.
- Efficiency:
- Distance traveled per yard gained. Lower means a more direct, north-south runner.
- Vs 8+ in the box:
- Share of carries against eight or more defenders near the line.
- Time to line:
- Average seconds from the handoff to reaching the line of scrimmage.
Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.