Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

Early season: only 3 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

1Brock Bowers▲TE · LVvsKCMUST STARTScored 22.6 last game, typical 10.312.0
4–21 rangeMUST START
Recent form
23
W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs TEs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
79%
Why we say must start
- Projected 12.0 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 22.6 points last game against a typical 10.3 (trending up).
- Concern: KC's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 13 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
2George Kittle▲TE · SFvsDENMUST STARTScored 23.2 last game, typical 10.211.9
4–21 rangeMUST START
Recent form
2
16
23
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 3
Game total
47.5
DEN vs TEs
3% more points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.9 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 23.2 points last game against a typical 10.2 (trending up).
- SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Trey McBrideTE · ARI@NYGMUST STARTProjected 11.7 · #3 among TEs11.7
4–21 rangeMUST START
Recent form
20
14
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.3 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs TEs
15% fewer points
Last game snaps
91%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.7 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Concern: NYG's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.3 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Tyler WarrenTE · IND@WASMUST STARTMore work with Keenan Allen out10.9
4–19 rangeMUST START
Recent form
9
11
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.9 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs TEs
39% more points
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say must start
- Projected 10.9 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.4 points).
- WAS's defense has allowed 39% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Travis Kelce▲TE · KC@LVMUST STARTScored 12.9 last game, typical 8.210.4
4–18 rangeMUST START
Recent form
9
21
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.2 a game
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs TEs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
79%
Why we say must start
- Projected 10.4 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 12.9 points last game against a typical 8.2 (trending up).
- KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Juwan Johnson▲TE · NOvsATLSTARTScored 19.3 last game, typical 7.49.5
3–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
13
9
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 2.5
Game total
47.5
ATL vs TEs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
62%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.5 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 19.3 points last game against a typical 7.4 (trending up).
- NO's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Dalton Kincaid▼TE · BUFvsNESTARTBUF expected to score ~28, a strong spot8.8
3–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
16
19
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs TEs
14% fewer points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.8 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 2.8 points last game against a typical 7.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Harold Fannin Jr.▲TE · CLEvsPITSTARTScored 20.6 last game, typical 8.410.2
scored · proj 8.8START
Recent form
3
8
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsPITGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
38.5
PIT vs TEs
11% more points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
86%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.8 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 20.6 points last game against a typical 8.4 (trending up).
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 86% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Dalton SchultzTE · HOUvsDALSTARTHOU expected to score ~26, a strong spot8.6
3–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
20
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsDALGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs TEs
2% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
54%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.6 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- HOU's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 54% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Sam LaPortaTE · DET@CARSTARTDET expected to score ~27, a strong spot8.5
3–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
7
14
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.9 a game
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs TEs
6% more points
Last game snaps
92%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.5 points, #10 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 92% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Mike Gesicki▲TE · CINvsJAXSTARTScored 11.2 last game, typical 4.17.6
3–13 rangeSTART
Recent form
16
11
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsJAXGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs TEs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
51%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.6 points, #11 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 11.2 points last game against a typical 4.1 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Jake FergusonTE · DAL@HOUSTARTProjected 7.5 · #12 among TEs7.5
3–13 rangeSTART
Recent form
2
18
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs TEs
8% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.5 points, #12 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Tucker Kraft▼TE · GB@TBFLEXTB allow 20% more points to TEs7.4
3–13 rangeFLEX
Recent form
8
3
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.1 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 3
Game total
38.5
TB vs TEs
20% more points
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.4 points, #13 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- TB's defense has allowed 20% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 4.6 points last game against a typical 10.1 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Kyle Pitts▼TE · ATL@NOFLEXProjected 7.0 · #14 among TEs7.0
3–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
0
2
1
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 2.5
Game total
47.5
NO vs TEs
9% more points
Last game snaps
59%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.0 points, #14 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Concern: Scored 1 points last game against a typical 8.8 (trending down).
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
15T.J. HockensonTE · MINvsMIAFLEXMore work with Justin Jefferson out6.4
2–11 rangeFLEX
Recent form
12
4
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsMIAGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs TEs
23% more points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.4 points, #15 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.3 points).
- MIA's defense has allowed 23% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Brenton StrangeTE · JAX@CINFLEXCIN allow 53% more points to TEs6.3
2–11 rangeFLEX
Recent form
9
3
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.8 a game
This week's matchup
@CINGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs TEs
53% more points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.3 points, #16 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- CIN's defense has allowed 53% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGvsARIBENCHProjected 6.3 · 0.0 behind #166.3
2–11 rangeBENCH
Recent form
24
6
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
ARI vs TEs
31% more points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.3 points, #17 among TEs this week, 0.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 31% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
18AJ BarnerTE · SEAvsLACBENCHLAC allow 19% fewer points to TEs5.9
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
2
7
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 7
Game total
42.5
LAC vs TEs
19% fewer points
Last game snaps
91%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.9 points, #18 among TEs this week, 0.4 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- LAC's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Zach Ertz▼TE · PHIvsLABENCHLA allow 14% fewer points to TEs5.7
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
1
W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsLAGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
PHI underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
LA vs TEs
14% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
38%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.7 points, #19 among TEs this week, 0.6 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- LA's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Scored 1.4 points last game against a typical 6.8 (trending down).
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
Projection 5.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Mark AndrewsTE · BALvsTENBENCHProjected 5.4 · 0.9 behind #165.4
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
7
8
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs TEs
8% fewer points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.4 points, #20 among TEs this week, 0.9 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Colston LovelandTE · CHIvsNYJBENCHProjected 5.4 · 0.9 behind #165.4
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
1
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs TEs
2% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
79%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.4 points, #21 among TEs this week, 0.9 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Chig OkonkwoTE · WASvsINDBENCHProjected 5.4 · 0.9 behind #165.4
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
3
W1
Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs TEs
19% more points
Last game snaps
56%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.4 points, #22 among TEs this week, 0.9 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: IND's defense has allowed 19% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 56% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Darren WallerTE · CARvsDETBENCHProjected 5.1 · 1.2 behind #165.1
2–9 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
17
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs TEs
47% more points
Last game snaps
51%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.1 points, #23 among TEs this week, 1.2 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 47% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 5.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Hunter Henry▼TE · NE@BUFBENCHScored 1 last game, typical 7.85.0
2–9 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
6
1
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.8 a game
This week's matchup
@BUFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
BUF vs TEs
37% fewer points
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.0 points, #24 among TEs this week, 1.3 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 1 points last game against a typical 7.8 (trending down).
- BUF's defense has allowed 37% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Oronde Gadsden II▼TE · LAC@SEABENCHScored 0 last game, typical 6.34.9
2–9 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
9
0
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.3 a game
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 7
Game total
42.5
SEA vs TEs
1% more points
Last game snaps
57%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.9 points, #25 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 6.3 (trending down).
- LAC's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 2.3 targets a game.
Projection 4.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Cade OttonTE · TBvsGBBENCHGB allow 13% fewer points to TEs4.6
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
6
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsGBGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 3
Game total
38.5
GB vs TEs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.6 points, #26 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- GB's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- TB's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Kenny Fletcher Jr.TE · IND@WASBENCHProjected 4.1 · #27 among TEs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs TEs
39% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #27 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 39% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
28Miles KitselmanTE · DET@CARBENCHProjected 3.8 · #28 among TEs3.8
1–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs TEs
6% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.8 points, #28 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 3.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →
29Thomas GordonTE · DET@CARBENCHProjected 3.8 · #29 among TEs3.8
1–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs TEs
6% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.8 points, #29 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 3.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →
30Greg DulcichTE · MIA@MINBENCHMIN allow 23% fewer points to TEs3.8
1–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
3
3
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.5 a game
This week's matchup
@MINGame page →
Expected team score
~14 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 10
Game total
38.5
MIN vs TEs
23% fewer points
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.8 points, #30 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- MIN's defense has allowed 23% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 14 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
31Kenyon SadiqQ▲TE · NYJ@CHIBENCHQuestionable — back injury3.8
0–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
10
3
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.5 a game
This week's matchup
@CHIGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYJ underdogs by 3.5
Game total
43.5
CHI vs TEs
15% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
58%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.8 points, #31 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Questionable — back injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, back injury. If active, about 5.9 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- CHI's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 20 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
Projection 3.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →
32Joshua SimonTE · WASvsINDBENCHProjected 3.7 · #32 among TEs3.7
1–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs TEs
19% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.7 points, #32 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: IND's defense has allowed 19% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
33Khalil DinkinsTE · SFvsDENBENCHProjected 3.7 · #33 among TEs3.7
1–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 3
Game total
47.5
DEN vs TEs
3% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.7 points, #33 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 3.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
34Jack VellingTE · ATL@NOBENCHProjected 3.6 · #34 among TEs3.6
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 2.5
Game total
47.5
NO vs TEs
9% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.6 points, #34 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.6 · Low confidence · Full player page →
35Thomas OdukoyaTE · KC@LVBENCHProjected 3.6 · #35 among TEs3.6
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs TEs
1% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.6 points, #35 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 3.6 · Low confidence · Full player page →
36Evan Engram▼TE · DEN@SFBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 4.33.6
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
12
2
0
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.3 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
DEN underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs TEs
League average
Last game snaps
60%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.6 points, #36 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 4.3 (trending down).
- Averaging 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 60% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
37Nick VannettTE · BALvsTENBENCHProjected 3.5 · #37 among TEs3.5
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs TEs
8% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #37 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
38Qadir IsmailTE · CHIvsNYJBENCHProjected 3.5 · #38 among TEs3.5
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs TEs
2% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #38 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
39Stephen CarlsonTE · CHIvsNYJBENCHProjected 3.5 · #39 among TEs3.5
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs TEs
2% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #39 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
40Michael TriggTE · DAL@HOUBENCHProjected 3.4 · #40 among TEs3.4
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs TEs
8% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.4 points, #40 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →
41Tyler Higbee▲TE · LA@PHIBENCHPHI allow 45% fewer points to TEs3.4
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
16
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.9 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs TEs
45% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
71%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.4 points, #41 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- PHI's defense has allowed 45% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 16.2 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
42Mitch Van VoorenTE · DAL@HOUBENCHProjected 3.4 · #42 among TEs3.4
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs TEs
8% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.4 points, #42 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →
43Darnell Washington▲TE · PIT@CLEBENCHProjected 3.4 · #43 among TEs10.2
scored · proj 3.4BENCH
Recent form
3
1
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.9 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs TEs
5% fewer points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.4 points, #43 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: Scored 8.2 points last game against a typical 3.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
44Shawn BowmanTE · ARI@NYGBENCHNYG allow 15% fewer points to TEs3.3
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs TEs
15% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #44 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- NYG's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
45Evan SvobodaTE · LAC@SEABENCHLAC expected to score only ~18, a tough spot3.3
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 7
Game total
42.5
SEA vs TEs
1% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #45 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- LAC's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
Projection 3.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
46Lake McReeTE · PIT@CLEBENCHProjected 3.3 · #46 among TEs3.3
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs TEs
5% fewer points
Wind
11 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #46 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
47Tommy TrembleTE · CARvsDETBENCHProjected 3.3 · #47 among TEs3.3
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
1
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs TEs
47% more points
Last game snaps
48%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #47 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 47% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
48Patrick HerbertTE · LAC@SEABENCHLAC expected to score only ~18, a tough spot3.3
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 7
Game total
42.5
SEA vs TEs
1% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #48 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- LAC's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
Projection 3.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
49Chris MyarickTE · LVvsKCBENCHKC allow 13% fewer points to TEs3.2
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs TEs
13% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.2 points, #49 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- KC's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
50Patrick GurdTE · LVvsKCBENCHKC allow 13% fewer points to TEs3.2
1–6 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs TEs
13% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.2 points, #50 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- KC's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.