Fantasy · Week 5 · 2026

Win your week. Start the right players.

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

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On bye: CAR, KC

  1. 1ARITrey McBrideTE · ARIvsDETDETMUST STARTDET allow 55% more points to TEs10.34–18 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 10.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    ARIARIvsDETDETDETGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    ARI underdogs by 5.5
    Game total
    52.5
    DET vs TEs
    55% more points
    Last game snaps
    91%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 10.3 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • DET's defense has allowed 55% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 11.3 targets a game.
    • Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 10.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  2. 2SFGeorge Kittle▲TE · SF@SEASEAMUST STARTScored 20.2 last game, typical 89.23–16 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    SFSF@SEASEASEAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    SF underdogs by 3
    Game total
    47.5
    SEA vs TEs
    1% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    85%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 9.2 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 20.2 points last game against a typical 8 (trending up).
    • Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
    • Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 9.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  3. 3LVBrock Bowers▲TE · LV@NENEMUST STARTScored 17.6 last game, typical 88.83–16 range

    Recent form

    W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    LVLV@NENENEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LV underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    44.5
    NE vs TEs
    18% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    79%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 8.8 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 17.6 points last game against a typical 8 (trending up).
    • Concern: NE's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 13 targets a game.
    • Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  4. 4DALJake FergusonTE · DALvsTBTBMUST STARTTB allow 22% more points to TEs7.33–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 5.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsTBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL favored by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5
    TB vs TEs
    22% more points
    Last game snaps
    69%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 7.3 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • TB's defense has allowed 22% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
    • Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 7.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  5. 5CINMike Gesicki▲TE · CIN@MIAMIAMUST STARTScored 9.7 last game, typical 3.17.23–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W3

    Dashed line: the usual 3.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    CINCIN@MIAMIAMIAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    CIN favored by 8.5
    Game total
    46.5
    MIA vs TEs
    25% more points
    Last game snaps
    51%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 7.2 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 9.7 points last game against a typical 3.1 (trending up).
    • MIA's defense has allowed 25% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 5 targets a game.
    • Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  6. 6DETSam LaPortaTE · DET@ARIARISTARTARI allow 36% more points to TEs7.23–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    DETDET@ARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 5.5
    Game total
    52.5
    ARI vs TEs
    36% more points
    Last game snaps
    92%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 7.2 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • ARI's defense has allowed 36% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
    • Played 92% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  7. 7INDTyler WarrenTE · IND@PITPITSTARTMore work with Keenan Allen out7.13–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    INDIND@PITPITPITGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    IND underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    44.5
    PIT vs TEs
    12% more points
    Last game snaps
    94%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 7.1 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1 points).
    • PIT's defense has allowed 12% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
    • Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  8. 8CLEHarold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE@NYJNYJSTARTProjected 6.9 · #8 among TEs6.93–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3W4

    Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    CLECLE@NYJNYJNYJGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    CLE underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    40.5
    NYJ vs TEs
    3% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    89%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 6.9 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 5.8 targets a game.
    • Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

  9. 9BUFDalton Kincaid▼TE · BUF@LALASTARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot6.72–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    BUFBUF@LALALAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    BUF underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    52.5
    LA vs TEs
    16% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    67%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 6.7 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Concern: Scored 1.8 points last game against a typical 6.2 (trending down).
    • Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
    • Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  10. 10NOJuwan Johnson▲TE · NOvsMINMINSTARTScored 15.3 last game, typical 5.46.52–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 5.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    NONOvsMINMINMINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NO underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    44.5
    MIN vs TEs
    24% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    62%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 6.5 points, #10 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 15.3 points last game against a typical 5.4 (trending up).
    • Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 24% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
    • Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  11. 11HOUDalton SchultzTE · HOU@TENTENSTARTProjected 5.4 · #11 among TEs5.42–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 5.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    HOUHOU@TENTENTENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    HOU favored by 6.5
    Game total
    39.5
    TEN vs TEs
    9% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    54%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 5.4 points, #11 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
    • Played 54% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  12. 12SEAAJ BarnerTE · SEAvsSFSFSTARTSEA expected to score ~25, a strong spot5.02–9 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 5.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    SEASEAvsSFSFSFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    SEA favored by 3
    Game total
    47.5
    SF vs TEs
    5% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    91%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 5.0 points, #12 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • SEA's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 4 targets a game.
    • Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  13. 13GBTucker Kraft▼TE · GBvsCHICHIFLEXProjected 5.0 · #13 among TEs5.02–9 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    GBGBvsCHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    GB favored by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5
    CHI vs TEs
    21% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    76%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 5.0 points, #13 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
    • Concern: Scored 2.6 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending down).
    • Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
    • Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  14. 14NEHunter Henry▼TE · NEvsLVLVFLEXProjected 4.6 · #14 among TEs4.62–8 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    NENEvsLVLVLVGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    NE favored by 3.5
    Game total
    44.5
    LV vs TEs
    2% more points
    Last game snaps
    70%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 4.6 points, #14 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
    • Concern: Scored 0.5 points last game against a typical 6.3 (trending down).
    • Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
    • Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  15. 15NYGIsaiah LikelyTE · NYG@WASWASFLEXWAS allow 53% more points to TEs4.62–8 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 2.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYGNYG@WASWASWASGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYG underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    WAS vs TEs
    53% more points
    Last game snaps
    84%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 4.6 points, #15 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
    • WAS's defense has allowed 53% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
    • Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  16. 16PHIZach Ertz▼TE · PHI@JAXJAXFLEXMoves up to No. 1 TE4.52–8 range

    Recent form

    W3

    Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    PHIPHI@JAXJAXJAXGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    PHI underdogs by 3
    Game total
    44.5
    JAX vs TEs
    5% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    38%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 4.5 points, #16 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
    • Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
    • Concern: Scored 0.9 points last game against a typical 5.1 (trending down).
    • Averaging 2 targets a game.
    • Played 38% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  17. 17ATLKyle Pitts▼TE · ATLvsBALBALBENCHScored 0.5 last game, typical 6.54.42–8 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    ATLATLvsBALBALBALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    ATL underdogs by 6
    Game total
    49.5
    BAL vs TEs
    19% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    59%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.4 points, #17 among TEs this week, 0.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Scored 0.5 points last game against a typical 6.5 (trending down).
    • BAL's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 2 targets a game.
    • Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  18. 18MINT.J. HockensonTE · MIN@NONOBENCHProjected 4.3 · 0.2 behind #164.32–8 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 3.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@NONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 2.5
    Game total
    44.5
    NO vs TEs
    6% more points
    Last game snaps
    85%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.3 points, #18 among TEs this week, 0.2 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
    • Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  19. 19PITDarnell Washington▲TE · PITvsINDINDBENCHProjected 4.2 · 0.3 behind #164.22–7 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3W4

    Dashed line: the usual 2.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    PITPITvsINDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    PIT favored by 1.5
    Game total
    44.5
    IND vs TEs
    19% more points
    Last game snaps
    71%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.2 points, #19 among TEs this week, 0.3 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: Scored 8.7 points last game against a typical 2.8 (trending up).
    • Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
    • Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  20. 20LACOronde Gadsden II▼TE · LACvsDENDENBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 4.84.01–7 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 4.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    LACLACvsDENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LAC underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    DEN vs TEs
    1% more points
    Last game snaps
    57%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.0 points, #20 among TEs this week, 0.5 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Scored 0 points last game against a typical 4.8 (trending down).
    • Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
    • Averaging 2.3 targets a game.
    • Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  21. 21BALMark AndrewsTE · BAL@ATLATLBENCHProjected 3.8 · 0.7 behind #163.81–7 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    BALBAL@ATLATLATLGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    BAL favored by 6
    Game total
    49.5
    ATL vs TEs
    9% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    52%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.8 points, #21 among TEs this week, 0.7 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 6 targets a game.
    • Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  22. 22CHIColston LovelandTE · CHI@GBGBBENCHGB allow 17% fewer points to TEs3.71–7 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    CHICHI@GBGBGBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    CHI underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5
    GB vs TEs
    17% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    79%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.7 points, #22 among TEs this week, 0.8 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • GB's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 3 targets a game.
    • Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  23. 23JAXBrenton StrangeTE · JAXvsPHIPHIBENCHPHI allow 51% fewer points to TEs3.71–7 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    JAXJAXvsPHIPHIPHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    JAX favored by 3
    Game total
    44.5
    PHI vs TEs
    51% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    77%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.7 points, #23 among TEs this week, 0.8 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • PHI's defense has allowed 51% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
    • Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  24. 24TBCade OttonTE · TB@DALDALBENCHTB expected to score only ~19, a tough spot3.51–6 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 3.7 a game

    This week's matchup

    TBTB@DALDALDALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    TB underdogs by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5
    DAL vs TEs
    2% more points
    Last game snaps
    94%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.5 points, #24 among TEs this week, 1.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
    • Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  25. 25MIAGreg DulcichTE · MIAvsCINCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot3.51–6 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 3.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    MIAMIAvsCINCINCINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    MIA underdogs by 8.5
    Game total
    46.5
    CIN vs TEs
    59% more points
    Last game snaps
    70%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.5 points, #25 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Upside: CIN's defense has allowed 59% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 4 targets a game.
    • Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  26. 26WASChig OkonkwoTE · WASvsNYGNYGBENCHNYG allow 20% fewer points to TEs3.31–6 range

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 3.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    WASWASvsNYGNYGNYGGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    WAS favored by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    NYG vs TEs
    20% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    56%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.3 points, #26 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • NYG's defense has allowed 20% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 3 targets a game.
    • Played 56% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  27. 27DETMiles KitselmanTE · DET@ARIARIBENCHProjected 3.1 · #27 among TEs3.11–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    DETDET@ARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 5.5
    Game total
    52.5
    ARI vs TEs
    36% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.1 points, #27 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 36% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  28. 28DETThomas GordonTE · DET@ARIARIBENCHProjected 3.1 · #28 among TEs3.11–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    DETDET@ARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 5.5
    Game total
    52.5
    ARI vs TEs
    36% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.1 points, #28 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 36% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  29. 29NYJKenyon SadiqQ▲TE · NYJvsCLECLEBENCHQuestionable — back injury3.10–6 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 2.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYJNYJvsCLECLECLEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYJ favored by 1.5
    Game total
    40.5
    CLE vs TEs
    1% more points
    Last game snaps
    58%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.1 points, #29 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Questionable — back injury.
    • If active, about 5.0 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
    • Upside: Scored 16.5 points last game against a typical 2.5 (trending up).
    • Averaging 4.7 targets a game.

    Projection 3.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  30. 30DALMichael TriggTE · DALvsTBTBBENCHProjected 3.0 · #30 among TEs3.01–5 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsTBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL favored by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5
    TB vs TEs
    22% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.0 points, #30 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: TB's defense has allowed 22% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  31. 31DALMitch Van VoorenTE · DALvsTBTBBENCHProjected 3.0 · #31 among TEs3.01–5 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsTBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL favored by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5
    TB vs TEs
    22% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.0 points, #31 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: TB's defense has allowed 22% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  32. 32PITPat FreiermuthTE · PITvsINDINDBENCHProjected 3.0 · #32 among TEs3.01–5 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3W4

    Dashed line: the usual 4.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    PITPITvsINDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    PIT favored by 1.5
    Game total
    44.5
    IND vs TEs
    19% more points
    Last game snaps
    75%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.0 points, #32 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: IND's defense has allowed 19% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 4.8 targets a game.
    • Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.
    • No. 2 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 3.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  33. 33LAColby ParkinsonQ▼TE · LAvsBUFBUFBENCHQuestionable — shoulder (AC Joint) injury2.30–4 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 5.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    LALAvsBUFBUFBUFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    LA favored by 2.5
    Game total
    52.5
    BUF vs TEs
    37% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    43%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 2.3 points, #33 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Questionable — shoulder (AC Joint) injury.
    • If active, about 3.7 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
    • Scored 0 points last game against a typical 5.4 (trending down).
    • BUF's defense has allowed 37% fewer points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 2.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  34. –NYJConnor HulsteinIRTE · NYJvsCLECLEOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    NYJNYJvsCLECLECLEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYJ favored by 1.5
    Game total
    40.5
    CLE vs TEs
    1% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  35. –DALDJ RogersIRTE · DALvsTBTBOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsTBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL favored by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5
    TB vs TEs
    22% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  36. –ARIJameson GeersIRTE · ARIvsDETDETOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    ARIARIvsDETDETDETGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    ARI underdogs by 5.5
    Game total
    52.5
    DET vs TEs
    55% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  37. –MINBen YurosekIRTE · MIN@NONOOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 0.2 a game.

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@NONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 2.5
    Game total
    44.5
    NO vs TEs
    6% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaged last season 0.5 targets a game.
    • No. 3 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  38. –DALPrinceton FantIRTE · DALvsTBTBOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 0.0 a game.

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsTBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL favored by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5
    TB vs TEs
    22% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  39. –GBLuke MusgraveIRTE · GBvsCHICHIOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 1.7 a game.

    This week's matchup

    GBGBvsCHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    GB favored by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5
    CHI vs TEs
    21% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaged last season 2.4 targets a game.
    • No. 5 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  40. –CHIHayden LargeIRTE · CHI@GBGBOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    CHICHI@GBGBGBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    CHI underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5
    GB vs TEs
    17% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  41. –GBMcCallan CastlesIRTE · GBvsCHICHIOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    GBGBvsCHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    GB favored by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5
    CHI vs TEs
    21% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  42. –PHIGrant CalcaterraIRTE · PHI@JAXJAXOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 1.2 a game.

    This week's matchup

    PHIPHI@JAXJAXJAXGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    PHI underdogs by 3
    Game total
    44.5
    JAX vs TEs
    5% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaged last season 1.4 targets a game.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  43. –LACDavid NjokuIRTE · LACvsDENDENOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 4.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    LACLACvsDENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LAC underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    DEN vs TEs
    1% more points
    Last game snaps
    16%

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaging 4 targets a game.
    • Played 16% of the offense's snaps last game.
    • No. 3 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  44. –TBKo KieftOUTTE · TB@DALDALOUTOut — elbow injury0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    W3

    Dashed line: the usual 0.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    TBTB@DALDALDALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    TB underdogs by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5
    DAL vs TEs
    2% more points
    Last game snaps
    3%

    Why we say out

    • Out — elbow injury.
    • Played 3% of the offense's snaps last game.
    • No. 3 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  45. –PHIDallas GoedertOUT▼TE · PHI@JAXJAXOUTOut — knee (MCL) injury0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    PHIPHI@JAXJAXJAXGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    PHI underdogs by 3
    Game total
    44.5
    JAX vs TEs
    5% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    25%

    Why we say out

    • Out — knee (MCL) injury.
    • Averaging 3.5 targets a game.
    • Played 25% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  46. –LVCarter RunyonIRTE · LV@NENEOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 0.1 a game.

    This week's matchup

    LVLV@NENENEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LV underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    44.5
    NE vs TEs
    18% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaged last season 0.3 targets a game.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  47. –CLEJoe RoyerIRTE · CLE@NYJNYJOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    CLECLE@NYJNYJNYJGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    CLE underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    40.5
    NYJ vs TEs
    3% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  48. –MINJosh OliverIRTE · MIN@NONOOUTOn injured reserve — biceps injury0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 2.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@NONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 2.5
    Game total
    44.5
    NO vs TEs
    6% more points
    Last game snaps
    41%

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve — biceps injury.
    • Averaging 1.7 targets a game.
    • Played 41% of the offense's snaps last game.
    • No. 3 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  49. –NEJulian HillIRTE · NEvsLVLVOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 1.2 a game.

    This week's matchup

    NENEvsLVLVLVGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    NE favored by 3.5
    Game total
    44.5
    LV vs TEs
    2% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaged last season 1.8 targets a game.
    • No. 5 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  50. –MINBryson NesbitIRTE · MIN@NONOOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@NONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 2.5
    Game total
    44.5
    NO vs TEs
    6% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.