Fantasy · Week 5 · 2026
Win your week. Start the right players.
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Our top pick at every position
Josh Allen
BUF @ LA
24.7proj
MUST STARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot
Running back · #1Jahmyr Gibbs
DET @ ARI
24.5proj
MUST STARTScored 34.4 last game, typical 15.3
Wide receiver · #1Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs SF
18.5proj
MUST STARTScored 25.4 last game, typical 12.7
Tight end · #1Trey McBride
ARI vs DET
10.3proj
MUST STARTDET allow 55% more points to TEs
Kicker · #1Brandon Aubrey
DAL vs TB
11.4proj
MUST STARTDAL expected to score ~29, plenty of drives
Defense · #1Texans D/ST
HOU @ TEN
10.3proj
MUST STARTTEN offense gives defenses 36% more points
Your toolkit
Full rankings
Each position has its own page: QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · Flex rankings · K rankings · D/ST rankings
On bye: CAR, KC
1Trey McBrideTE · ARIvsDETMUST STARTDET allow 55% more points to TEs10.3
4–18 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 10.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI underdogs by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- DET vs TEs
- 55% more points
- Last game snaps
- 91%
Why we say must start
- Projected 10.3 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- DET's defense has allowed 55% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.3 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
2George Kittle▲TE · SF@SEAMUST STARTScored 20.2 last game, typical 89.2
3–16 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- SF underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SEA vs TEs
- 1% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 9.2 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.2 points last game against a typical 8 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Brock Bowers▲TE · LV@NEMUST STARTScored 17.6 last game, typical 88.8
3–16 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W3Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NE vs TEs
- 18% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 79%
Why we say must start
- Projected 8.8 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 17.6 points last game against a typical 8 (trending up).
- Concern: NE's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 13 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Jake FergusonTE · DALvsTBMUST STARTTB allow 22% more points to TEs7.3
3–13 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs TEs
- 22% more points
- Last game snaps
- 69%
Why we say must start
- Projected 7.3 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- TB's defense has allowed 22% more points to TEs than the league average.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Mike Gesicki▲TE · CIN@MIAMUST STARTScored 9.7 last game, typical 3.17.2
3–13 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W3Dashed line: the usual 3.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- CIN favored by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- MIA vs TEs
- 25% more points
- Last game snaps
- 51%
Why we say must start
- Projected 7.2 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 9.7 points last game against a typical 3.1 (trending up).
- MIA's defense has allowed 25% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Sam LaPortaTE · DET@ARISTARTARI allow 36% more points to TEs7.2
3–13 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- ARI vs TEs
- 36% more points
- Last game snaps
- 92%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.2 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- ARI's defense has allowed 36% more points to TEs than the league average.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 92% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Tyler WarrenTE · IND@PITSTARTMore work with Keenan Allen out7.1
3–13 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- IND underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- PIT vs TEs
- 12% more points
- Last game snaps
- 94%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.1 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1 points).
- PIT's defense has allowed 12% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE@NYJSTARTProjected 6.9 · #8 among TEs6.9
3–12 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- CLE underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- NYJ vs TEs
- 3% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 89%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.9 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.8 targets a game.
- Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Dalton Kincaid▼TE · BUF@LASTARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot6.7
2–12 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- BUF underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- LA vs TEs
- 16% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 67%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.7 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 1.8 points last game against a typical 6.2 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Juwan Johnson▲TE · NOvsMINSTARTScored 15.3 last game, typical 5.46.5
2–12 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NO underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- MIN vs TEs
- 24% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 62%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.5 points, #10 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 15.3 points last game against a typical 5.4 (trending up).
- Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 24% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Dalton SchultzTE · HOU@TENSTARTProjected 5.4 · #11 among TEs5.4
2–10 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- HOU favored by 6.5
- Game total
- 39.5
- TEN vs TEs
- 9% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 54%
Why we say start
- Projected 5.4 points, #11 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 54% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
12AJ BarnerTE · SEAvsSFSTARTSEA expected to score ~25, a strong spot5.0
2–9 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- SEA favored by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SF vs TEs
- 5% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 91%
Why we say start
- Projected 5.0 points, #12 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- SEA's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Tucker Kraft▼TE · GBvsCHIFLEXProjected 5.0 · #13 among TEs5.0
2–9 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- GB favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- CHI vs TEs
- 21% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 76%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.0 points, #13 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Concern: Scored 2.6 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Hunter Henry▼TE · NEvsLVFLEXProjected 4.6 · #14 among TEs4.6
2–8 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- NE favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- LV vs TEs
- 2% more points
- Last game snaps
- 70%
Why we say flex
- Projected 4.6 points, #14 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Concern: Scored 0.5 points last game against a typical 6.3 (trending down).
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG@WASFLEXWAS allow 53% more points to TEs4.6
2–8 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 2.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYG underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- WAS vs TEs
- 53% more points
- Last game snaps
- 84%
Why we say flex
- Projected 4.6 points, #15 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- WAS's defense has allowed 53% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Zach Ertz▼TE · PHI@JAXFLEXMoves up to No. 1 TE4.5
2–8 rangeFLEXRecent form
W3Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- PHI underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- JAX vs TEs
- 5% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 38%
Why we say flex
- Projected 4.5 points, #16 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Concern: Scored 0.9 points last game against a typical 5.1 (trending down).
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
- Played 38% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Kyle Pitts▼TE · ATLvsBALBENCHScored 0.5 last game, typical 6.54.4
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- BAL vs TEs
- 19% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 59%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.4 points, #17 among TEs this week, 0.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 0.5 points last game against a typical 6.5 (trending down).
- BAL's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
18T.J. HockensonTE · MIN@NOBENCHProjected 4.3 · 0.2 behind #164.3
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 3.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NO vs TEs
- 6% more points
- Last game snaps
- 85%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #18 among TEs this week, 0.2 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Darnell Washington▲TE · PITvsINDBENCHProjected 4.2 · 0.3 behind #164.2
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 2.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- IND vs TEs
- 19% more points
- Last game snaps
- 71%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #19 among TEs this week, 0.3 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 8.7 points last game against a typical 2.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Oronde Gadsden II▼TE · LACvsDENBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 4.84.0
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 4.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- DEN vs TEs
- 1% more points
- Last game snaps
- 57%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.0 points, #20 among TEs this week, 0.5 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 4.8 (trending down).
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Mark AndrewsTE · BAL@ATLBENCHProjected 3.8 · 0.7 behind #163.8
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- ATL vs TEs
- 9% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 52%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.8 points, #21 among TEs this week, 0.7 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Colston LovelandTE · CHI@GBBENCHGB allow 17% fewer points to TEs3.7
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs TEs
- 17% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 79%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.7 points, #22 among TEs this week, 0.8 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- GB's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Brenton StrangeTE · JAXvsPHIBENCHPHI allow 51% fewer points to TEs3.7
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- JAX favored by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- PHI vs TEs
- 51% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 77%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.7 points, #23 among TEs this week, 0.8 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- PHI's defense has allowed 51% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Cade OttonTE · TB@DALBENCHTB expected to score only ~19, a tough spot3.5
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 3.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- DAL vs TEs
- 2% more points
- Last game snaps
- 94%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #24 among TEs this week, 1.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Greg DulcichTE · MIAvsCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot3.5
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 3.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- MIA underdogs by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- CIN vs TEs
- 59% more points
- Last game snaps
- 70%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #25 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: CIN's defense has allowed 59% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Chig OkonkwoTE · WASvsNYGBENCHNYG allow 20% fewer points to TEs3.3
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 3.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NYG vs TEs
- 20% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 56%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #26 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- NYG's defense has allowed 20% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 56% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Miles KitselmanTE · DET@ARIBENCHProjected 3.1 · #27 among TEs3.1
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- ARI vs TEs
- 36% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.1 points, #27 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 36% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
28Thomas GordonTE · DET@ARIBENCHProjected 3.1 · #28 among TEs3.1
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- ARI vs TEs
- 36% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.1 points, #28 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 36% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
29Kenyon SadiqQ▲TE · NYJvsCLEBENCHQuestionable — back injury3.1
0–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 2.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYJ favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- CLE vs TEs
- 1% more points
- Last game snaps
- 58%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.1 points, #29 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Questionable — back injury.
- If active, about 5.0 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- Upside: Scored 16.5 points last game against a typical 2.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 4.7 targets a game.
Projection 3.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
30Michael TriggTE · DALvsTBBENCHProjected 3.0 · #30 among TEs3.0
1–5 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs TEs
- 22% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.0 points, #30 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: TB's defense has allowed 22% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
31Mitch Van VoorenTE · DALvsTBBENCHProjected 3.0 · #31 among TEs3.0
1–5 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs TEs
- 22% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.0 points, #31 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: TB's defense has allowed 22% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
32Pat FreiermuthTE · PITvsINDBENCHProjected 3.0 · #32 among TEs3.0
1–5 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 4.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- IND vs TEs
- 19% more points
- Last game snaps
- 75%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.0 points, #32 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: IND's defense has allowed 19% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4.8 targets a game.
- Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 3.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
33Colby ParkinsonQ▼TE · LAvsBUFBENCHQuestionable — shoulder (AC Joint) injury2.3
0–4 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- LA favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- BUF vs TEs
- 37% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 43%
Why we say bench
- Projected 2.3 points, #33 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Questionable — shoulder (AC Joint) injury.
- If active, about 3.7 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 5.4 (trending down).
- BUF's defense has allowed 37% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 2.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Connor HulsteinIRTE · NYJvsCLEOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYJ favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- CLE vs TEs
- 1% more points
–DJ RogersIRTE · DALvsTBOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs TEs
- 22% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Jameson GeersIRTE · ARIvsDETOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI underdogs by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- DET vs TEs
- 55% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Ben YurosekIRTE · MIN@NOOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 0.2 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NO vs TEs
- 6% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 0.5 targets a game.
- No. 3 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Princeton FantIRTE · DALvsTBOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 0.0 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs TEs
- 22% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Luke MusgraveIRTE · GBvsCHIOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 1.7 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- GB favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- CHI vs TEs
- 21% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 2.4 targets a game.
- No. 5 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Hayden LargeIRTE · CHI@GBOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs TEs
- 17% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–McCallan CastlesIRTE · GBvsCHIOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- GB favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- CHI vs TEs
- 21% fewer points
–Grant CalcaterraIRTE · PHI@JAXOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 1.2 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- PHI underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- JAX vs TEs
- 5% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 1.4 targets a game.
- No. 4 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–David NjokuIRTE · LACvsDENOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 4.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- DEN vs TEs
- 1% more points
- Last game snaps
- 16%
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 16% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 3 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Ko KieftOUTTE · TB@DALOUTOut — elbow injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
W3Dashed line: the usual 0.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- DAL vs TEs
- 2% more points
- Last game snaps
- 3%
Why we say out
- Out — elbow injury.
- Played 3% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 3 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Dallas GoedertOUT▼TE · PHI@JAXOUTOut — knee (MCL) injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- PHI underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- JAX vs TEs
- 5% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 25%
Why we say out
- Out — knee (MCL) injury.
- Averaging 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 25% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Carter RunyonIRTE · LV@NEOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 0.1 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NE vs TEs
- 18% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 0.3 targets a game.
- No. 4 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Joe RoyerIRTE · CLE@NYJOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- CLE underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- NYJ vs TEs
- 3% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Josh OliverIRTE · MIN@NOOUTOn injured reserve — biceps injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 2.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NO vs TEs
- 6% more points
- Last game snaps
- 41%
Why we say out
- On injured reserve — biceps injury.
- Averaging 1.7 targets a game.
- Played 41% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 3 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Julian HillIRTE · NEvsLVOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 1.2 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- NE favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- LV vs TEs
- 2% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 1.8 targets a game.
- No. 5 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Bryson NesbitIRTE · MIN@NOOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NO vs TEs
- 6% more points
How we rank
Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.
We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.
The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.