Fantasy · Week 5 · 2026
Win your week. Start the right players.
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Our top pick at every position
Josh Allen
BUF @ LA
24.8proj
MUST STARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot
Running back · #1Jahmyr Gibbs
DET @ ARI
29.8proj
MUST STARTScored 41.4 last game, typical 19.3
Wide receiver · #1Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs SF
26.3proj
MUST STARTScored 35.4 last game, typical 18.9
Tight end · #1Trey McBride
ARI vs DET
18.0proj
MUST STARTDET allow 42% more points to TEs
Kicker · #1Brandon Aubrey
DAL vs TB
11.4proj
MUST STARTDAL expected to score ~29, plenty of drives
Defense · #1Texans D/ST
HOU @ TEN
10.3proj
MUST STARTTEN offense gives defenses 36% more points
Your toolkit
Full rankings
Each position has its own page: QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · Flex rankings · K rankings · D/ST rankings
On bye: CAR, KC
1Trey McBrideTE · ARIvsDETMUST STARTDET allow 42% more points to TEs18.0
7–32 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 16.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI underdogs by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- DET vs TEs
- 42% more points
- Last game snaps
- 91%
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.0 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- DET's defense has allowed 42% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.3 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 18.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Brock Bowers▲TE · LV@NEMUST STARTScored 27.6 last game, typical 12.614.6
5–26 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W3Dashed line: the usual 12.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NE vs TEs
- 12% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 79%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.6 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 27.6 points last game against a typical 12.6 (trending up).
- Concern: NE's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 13 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
3George Kittle▲TE · SF@SEAMUST STARTScored 26.2 last game, typical 12.413.4
5–24 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- SF underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SEA vs TEs
- 3% more points
- Last game snaps
- 85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 13.4 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 26.2 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Tyler Warren▲TE · IND@PITMUST STARTScored 14.7 last game, typical 9.912.5
5–22 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- IND underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- PIT vs TEs
- 7% more points
- Last game snaps
- 94%
Why we say must start
- Projected 12.5 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 14.7 points last game against a typical 9.9 (trending up).
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.8 points).
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Sam LaPortaTE · DET@ARIMUST STARTARI allow 28% more points to TEs11.7
4–21 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- ARI vs TEs
- 28% more points
- Last game snaps
- 92%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.7 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- ARI's defense has allowed 28% more points to TEs than the league average.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 92% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Jake FergusonTE · DALvsTBSTARTTB allow 18% more points to TEs11.3
4–20 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs TEs
- 18% more points
- Last game snaps
- 69%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.3 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- TB's defense has allowed 18% more points to TEs than the league average.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE@NYJSTARTProjected 10.6 · #7 among TEs10.6
4–19 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 10.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- CLE underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- NYJ vs TEs
- 2% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 89%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.6 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.8 targets a game.
- Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Juwan Johnson▲TE · NOvsMINSTARTScored 23.3 last game, typical 9.510.4
4–18 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NO underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- MIN vs TEs
- 23% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 62%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.4 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 23.3 points last game against a typical 9.5 (trending up).
- Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 23% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Dalton SchultzTE · HOU@TENSTARTProjected 10.3 · #9 among TEs10.3
4–18 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- HOU favored by 6.5
- Game total
- 39.5
- TEN vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 54%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.3 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 54% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Dalton Kincaid▼TE · BUF@LASTARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot10.1
4–18 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- BUF underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- LA vs TEs
- 13% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 67%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.1 points, #10 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 3.8 points last game against a typical 9 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Mike Gesicki▲TE · CIN@MIASTARTScored 12.7 last game, typical 5.110.1
4–18 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W3Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- CIN favored by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- MIA vs TEs
- 21% more points
- Last game snaps
- 51%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.1 points, #11 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 12.7 points last game against a typical 5.1 (trending up).
- MIA's defense has allowed 21% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG@WASSTARTWAS allow 30% more points to TEs8.0
3–14 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYG underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- WAS vs TEs
- 30% more points
- Last game snaps
- 84%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.0 points, #12 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- WAS's defense has allowed 30% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
13AJ Barner▲TE · SEAvsSFFLEXScored 11.9 last game, typical 7.87.9
3–14 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- SEA favored by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SF vs TEs
- 3% more points
- Last game snaps
- 91%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.9 points, #13 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Scored 11.9 points last game against a typical 7.8 (trending up).
- SEA's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Tucker Kraft▼TE · GBvsCHIFLEXProjected 7.9 · #14 among TEs7.9
3–14 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 11.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- GB favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- CHI vs TEs
- 12% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 76%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.9 points, #14 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Concern: Scored 6.6 points last game against a typical 11.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
15T.J. HockensonTE · MIN@NOFLEXMore work with Justin Jefferson out7.8
3–14 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NO vs TEs
- 10% more points
- Last game snaps
- 85%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.8 points, #15 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.6 points).
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Kyle Pitts▼TE · ATLvsBALFLEXProjected 7.7 · #16 among TEs7.7
3–14 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- BAL vs TEs
- 16% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 59%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.7 points, #16 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Concern: Scored 1.5 points last game against a typical 11.1 (trending down).
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Zach Ertz▼TE · PHI@JAXBENCHScored 1.9 last game, typical 8.47.6
3–13 rangeBENCHRecent form
W3Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- PHI underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- JAX vs TEs
- 4% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 38%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.6 points, #17 among TEs this week, 0.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 1.9 points last game against a typical 8.4 (trending down).
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
- Played 38% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Hunter Henry▼TE · NEvsLVBENCHScored 1.5 last game, typical 9.47.1
3–13 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- NE favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- LV vs TEs
- 2% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 70%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.1 points, #18 among TEs this week, 0.6 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 1.5 points last game against a typical 9.4 (trending down).
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Mark AndrewsTE · BAL@ATLBENCHProjected 7.0 · 0.7 behind #167.0
3–12 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- ATL vs TEs
- 10% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 52%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.0 points, #19 among TEs this week, 0.7 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Cade OttonTE · TB@DALBENCHTB expected to score only ~19, a tough spot6.6
2–12 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- DAL vs TEs
- 2% more points
- Last game snaps
- 94%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.6 points, #20 among TEs this week, 1.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Darnell Washington▲TE · PITvsINDBENCHProjected 6.5 · 1.2 behind #166.5
2–12 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 4.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- IND vs TEs
- 18% more points
- Last game snaps
- 71%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.5 points, #21 among TEs this week, 1.2 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 11.7 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Greg Dulcich▲TE · MIAvsCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot6.4
2–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- MIA underdogs by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- CIN vs TEs
- 49% more points
- Last game snaps
- 70%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.4 points, #22 among TEs this week, 1.3 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: CIN's defense has allowed 49% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Chig OkonkwoTE · WASvsNYGBENCHNYG allow 13% fewer points to TEs6.3
2–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NYG vs TEs
- 13% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 56%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.3 points, #23 among TEs this week, 1.4 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- NYG's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 56% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Colston LovelandTE · CHI@GBBENCHProjected 6.2 · 1.5 behind #166.2
2–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs TEs
- 11% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 79%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.2 points, #24 among TEs this week, 1.5 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Oronde Gadsden II▼TE · LACvsDENBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 7.76.2
2–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- DEN vs TEs
- 5% more points
- Last game snaps
- 57%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.2 points, #25 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 7.7 (trending down).
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Brenton StrangeTE · JAXvsPHIBENCHPHI allow 41% fewer points to TEs6.1
2–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- JAX favored by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- PHI vs TEs
- 41% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 77%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.1 points, #26 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- PHI's defense has allowed 41% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Miles KitselmanTE · DET@ARIBENCHProjected 5.3 · #27 among TEs5.3
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- ARI vs TEs
- 28% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.3 points, #27 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 28% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 5.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
28Thomas GordonTE · DET@ARIBENCHProjected 5.3 · #28 among TEs5.3
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- ARI vs TEs
- 28% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.3 points, #28 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 28% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 5.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
29Michael TriggTE · DALvsTBBENCHProjected 5.1 · #29 among TEs5.1
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs TEs
- 18% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.1 points, #29 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: TB's defense has allowed 18% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 5.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
30Mitch Van VoorenTE · DALvsTBBENCHProjected 5.1 · #30 among TEs5.1
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs TEs
- 18% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.1 points, #30 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: TB's defense has allowed 18% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 5.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
31Shawn BowmanTE · ARIvsDETBENCHProjected 5.0 · #31 among TEs5.0
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI underdogs by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- DET vs TEs
- 42% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.0 points, #31 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 42% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 5.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
32Lake McReeTE · PITvsINDBENCHProjected 4.8 · #32 among TEs4.8
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- IND vs TEs
- 18% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.8 points, #32 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: IND's defense has allowed 18% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →
33Kenyon SadiqQ▲TE · NYJvsCLEBENCHQuestionable — back injury4.8
0–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYJ favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- CLE vs TEs
- 2% more points
- Last game snaps
- 58%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.8 points, #33 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Questionable — back injury.
- If active, about 7.8 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- Upside: Scored 23.5 points last game against a typical 4.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 4.7 targets a game.
Projection 4.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →
34Tre WatsonTE · MIAvsCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot4.7
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- MIA underdogs by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- CIN vs TEs
- 49% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #34 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: CIN's defense has allowed 49% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
35Pat Freiermuth▲TE · PITvsINDBENCHProjected 4.6 · #35 among TEs4.6
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 6.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- IND vs TEs
- 18% more points
- Last game snaps
- 75%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.6 points, #35 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: Scored 10.7 points last game against a typical 6.7 (trending up).
- Averaging 4.8 targets a game.
- Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 4.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
36Nick VannettTE · BAL@ATLBENCHProjected 4.5 · #36 among TEs4.5
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- ATL vs TEs
- 10% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.5 points, #36 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 4.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
37Tyler Higbee▲TE · LAvsBUFBENCHBUF allow 37% fewer points to TEs4.5
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W3Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- LA favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- BUF vs TEs
- 37% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 71%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.5 points, #37 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- BUF's defense has allowed 37% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 20.2 points last game against a typical 5.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
38Kenny Fletcher Jr.TE · IND@PITBENCHProjected 4.5 · #38 among TEs4.5
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- IND underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- PIT vs TEs
- 7% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.5 points, #38 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
39Evan SvobodaTE · LACvsDENBENCHProjected 4.4 · #39 among TEs4.4
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- DEN vs TEs
- 5% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.4 points, #39 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →
40Khalil DinkinsTE · SF@SEABENCHProjected 4.4 · #40 among TEs4.4
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- SF underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SEA vs TEs
- 3% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.4 points, #40 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →
41Patrick HerbertTE · LACvsDENBENCHProjected 4.4 · #41 among TEs4.4
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- DEN vs TEs
- 5% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.4 points, #41 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →
42Cody HardyTE · NYJvsCLEBENCHProjected 4.3 · #42 among TEs4.3
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYJ favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- CLE vs TEs
- 2% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #42 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
43Evan Engram▼TE · DEN@LACBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 5.74.3
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- DEN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- LAC vs TEs
- 18% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 60%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #43 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 5.7 (trending down).
- LAC's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 60% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
44CJ DippreTE · TB@DALBENCHTB expected to score only ~19, a tough spot4.2
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- DAL vs TEs
- 2% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #44 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
45Dan VillariTE · LAvsBUFBENCHBUF allow 37% fewer points to TEs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- LA favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- BUF vs TEs
- 37% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #45 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- BUF's defense has allowed 37% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
46Qadir IsmailTE · CHI@GBBENCHProjected 4.1 · #46 among TEs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs TEs
- 11% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #46 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
47Joshua SimonTE · WASvsNYGBENCHNYG allow 13% fewer points to TEs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NYG vs TEs
- 13% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #47 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- NYG's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
48Stephen CarlsonTE · CHI@GBBENCHProjected 4.1 · #48 among TEs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs TEs
- 11% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #48 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
49Jack VellingTE · ATLvsBALBENCHBAL allow 16% fewer points to TEs4.0
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- BAL vs TEs
- 16% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.0 points, #49 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- BAL's defense has allowed 16% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
50Chris MyarickTE · LV@NEBENCHNE allow 12% fewer points to TEs4.0
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NE vs TEs
- 12% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.0 points, #50 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- NE's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
How we rank
Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.
We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.
The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.