Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

1Jahmyr Gibbs▲RB · DET@ARIMUST STARTScored 41.4 last game, typical 19.329.8
14–48 rangeMUST START
Recent form
34
23
41
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 19.3 a game
This week's matchup
@ARIGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 5.5
Game total
52.5
ARI vs RBs
9% more points
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say must start
- Projected 29.8 points, #1 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 41.4 points last game against a typical 19.3 (trending up).
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 21.7 carries and 7 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 29.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Bijan Robinson▲RB · ATLvsBALMUST STARTScored 35.3 last game, typical 19.521.7
10–35 rangeMUST START
Recent form
31
11
35
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 19.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 6
Game total
49.5
BAL vs RBs
4% more points
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say must start
- Projected 21.7 points, #2 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 35.3 points last game against a typical 19.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 22 carries and 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 21.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Jonathan Taylor▼RB · IND@PITMUST STARTProjected 19.6 · #3 among RBs19.6
9–32 rangeMUST START
Recent form
25
29
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 19.1 a game
This week's matchup
@PITGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
IND underdogs by 1.5
Game total
44.5
PIT vs RBs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.6 points, #3 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: Scored 9.2 points last game against a typical 19.1 (trending down).
- Averaging 22 carries and 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 19.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Christian McCaffreyRB · SF@SEAMUST STARTProjected 19.3 · #4 among RBs19.3
9–31 rangeMUST START
Recent form
14
23
22
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 21.9 a game
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
SF underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SEA vs RBs
17% fewer points
Last game snaps
83%
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.3 points, #4 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: SEA's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.7 carries and 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 19.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Derrick Henry▲RB · BAL@ATLMUST STARTScored 21.9 last game, typical 14.718.9
9–31 rangeMUST START
Recent form
35
18
22
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.7 a game
This week's matchup
@ATLGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 6
Game total
49.5
ATL vs RBs
12% fewer points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.9 points, #5 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 21.9 points last game against a typical 14.7 (trending up).
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 22 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 18.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Kyren Williams▲RB · LAvsBUFMUST STARTScored 21.8 last game, typical 13.918.0
9–29 rangeMUST START
Recent form
16
16
22
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsBUFGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 2.5
Game total
52.5
BUF vs RBs
15% more points
Last game snaps
71%
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.0 points, #6 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 21.8 points last game against a typical 13.9 (trending up).
- BUF's defense has allowed 15% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 12.7 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 18.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
7James CookRB · BUF@LAMUST STARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot16.2
8–26 rangeMUST START
Recent form
10
21
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.9 a game
This week's matchup
@LAGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
BUF underdogs by 2.5
Game total
52.5
LA vs RBs
10% fewer points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.2 points, #7 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 19.3 carries and 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Chase Brown▼RB · CIN@MIAMUST STARTMIA allow 20% more points to RBs16.1
8–26 rangeMUST START
Recent form
19
11
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.9 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 8.5
Game total
46.5
MIA vs RBs
20% more points
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.1 points, #8 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- MIA's defense has allowed 20% more points to RBs than the league average.
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 8.9 points last game against a typical 14.9 (trending down).
- Averaging 16.3 carries and 4.3 targets a game.
Projection 16.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Javonte Williams▲RB · DALvsTBSTARTDAL expected to score ~29, a strong spot15.3
7–25 rangeSTART
Recent form
24
8
18
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsTBGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DAL favored by 9.5
Game total
47.5
TB vs RBs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say start
- Projected 15.3 points, #9 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Scored 18.3 points last game against a typical 13.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 14.3 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 15.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
10D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI@GBSTARTProjected 14.7 · #10 among RBs14.7
7–24 rangeSTART
Recent form
32
13
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.7 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 2.5
Game total
45.5
GB vs RBs
11% more points
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.7 points, #10 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 18 carries and 3 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Jaylen WarrenRB · PITvsINDSTARTProjected 14.3 · #11 among RBs14.3
7–23 rangeSTART
Recent form
10
10
21
16
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 1.5
Game total
44.5
IND vs RBs
2% more points
Last game snaps
97%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.3 points, #11 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 13.8 carries and 5 targets a game.
- Played 97% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Ashton JeantyRB · LV@NESTARTProjected 13.1 · #12 among RBs13.1
6–21 rangeSTART
Recent form
33
10
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.9 a game
This week's matchup
@NEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 3.5
Game total
44.5
NE vs RBs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.1 points, #12 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 21 carries and 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Quinshon Judkins▲RB · CLE@NYJSTARTScored 21.6 last game, typical 10.613.0
6–21 rangeSTART
Recent form
7
10
10
22
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 10.6 a game
This week's matchup
@NYJGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 1.5
Game total
40.5
NYJ vs RBs
24% more points
Last game snaps
66%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.0 points, #13 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21.6 points last game against a typical 10.6 (trending up).
- NYJ's defense has allowed 24% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 14.8 carries and 4 targets a game.
Projection 13.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Bucky IrvingRB · TB@DALSTARTDAL allow 15% more points to RBs12.5
6–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
20
13
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.5 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 9.5
Game total
47.5
DAL vs RBs
15% more points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.5 points, #14 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- DAL's defense has allowed 15% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Concern: TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 13.3 carries and 5 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Cam SkatteboRB · NYG@WASSTARTProjected 12.0 · #15 among RBs12.0
6–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
10
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.8 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
43.5
WAS vs RBs
1% more points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.0 points, #15 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 16.7 carries and 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Bhayshul Tuten▲RB · JAXvsPHISTARTScored 17 last game, typical 5.211.4
6–19 rangeSTART
Recent form
10
14
17
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsPHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
44.5
PHI vs RBs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
48%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.4 points, #16 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Scored 17 points last game against a typical 5.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 14.3 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Aaron Jones▲RB · MIN@NOSTARTScored 14.2 last game, typical 8.511.1
5–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
10
11
14
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NO vs RBs
4% more points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.1 points, #17 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Scored 14.2 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 17.3 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Omarion Hampton▼RB · LACvsDENSTARTProjected 11.0 · #18 among RBs11.0
5–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
18
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 2.5
Game total
43.5
DEN vs RBs
7% fewer points
Last game snaps
42%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.0 points, #18 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Concern: Scored 5.6 points last game against a typical 12.3 (trending down).
- Averaging 16.7 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 42% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI@JAXSTARTProjected 10.1 · #19 among RBs10.1
5–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
9
3
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.9 a game
This week's matchup
@JAXGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PHI underdogs by 3
Game total
44.5
JAX vs RBs
17% fewer points
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.1 points, #19 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Concern: JAX's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.3 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
20David MontgomeryRB · HOU@TENSTARTProjected 9.7 · #20 among RBs9.7
5–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
29
4
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game
This week's matchup
@TENGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 6.5
Game total
39.5
TEN vs RBs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
63%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.7 points, #20 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 12.3 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 63% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Rhamondre Stevenson▼RB · NEvsLVFLEXProjected 9.5 · #21 among RBs9.5
5–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
15
4
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NE favored by 3.5
Game total
44.5
LV vs RBs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.5 points, #21 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: Scored 6.8 points last game against a typical 11.2 (trending down).
- Averaging 10.3 carries and 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WASvsNYGFLEXMore work with Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out9.2
4–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
13
6
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYGGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
WAS favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
NYG vs RBs
14% more points
Last game snaps
57%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.2 points, #22 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.4 points).
- NYG's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 15.7 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Jeremiyah Love▲RB · ARIvsDETFLEXScored 21.9 last game, typical 5.98.9
4–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
13
8
22
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI underdogs by 5.5
Game total
52.5
DET vs RBs
10% fewer points
Last game snaps
64%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.9 points, #23 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Scored 21.9 points last game against a typical 5.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 13.7 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 64% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
24TreVeyon Henderson▼RB · NEvsLVFLEXProjected 8.5 · #24 among RBs8.5
4–14 rangeFLEX
Recent form
14
4
W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NE favored by 3.5
Game total
44.5
LV vs RBs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
37%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.5 points, #24 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: Scored 3.9 points last game against a typical 10.9 (trending down).
- Averaging 12 carries and 0.5 targets a game.
- Played 37% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
25RJ HarveyRB · DEN@LACFLEXProjected 8.2 · #25 among RBs8.2
4–13 rangeFLEX
Recent form
8
11
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
@LACGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DEN favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
LAC vs RBs
12% fewer points
Last game snaps
36%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.2 points, #25 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Averaging 2.5 carries and 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 36% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Tony PollardRB · TENvsHOUFLEXProjected 8.0 · #26 among RBs8.0
4–13 rangeFLEX
Recent form
4
8
14
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsHOUGame page →
Expected team score
~17 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 6.5
Game total
39.5
HOU vs RBs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
53%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.0 points, #26 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: HOU's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 12.7 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 53% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Kenny Gainwell▼RB · TB@DALFLEXDAL allow 15% more points to RBs7.8
4–13 rangeFLEX
Recent form
3
5
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.6 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 9.5
Game total
47.5
DAL vs RBs
15% more points
Last game snaps
46%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.8 points, #27 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- DAL's defense has allowed 15% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 3 points last game against a typical 11.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 3.3 carries and 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 46% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
28J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN@LACFLEXProjected 7.5 · #28 among RBs7.5
4–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
4
4
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.7 a game
This week's matchup
@LACGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DEN favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
LAC vs RBs
12% fewer points
Last game snaps
49%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.5 points, #28 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Averaging 11.7 carries and 0.7 targets a game.
- Played 49% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
29Alvin KamaraRB · NOvsMINFLEXProjected 7.4 · #29 among RBs7.4
4–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
7
5
W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NO underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
MIN vs RBs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
32%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.4 points, #29 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 9 carries and 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 32% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
30Kyle Monangai▼RB · CHI@GBFLEXProjected 6.8 · #30 among RBs6.8
3–11 rangeFLEX
Recent form
20
8
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 2.5
Game total
45.5
GB vs RBs
11% more points
Last game snaps
31%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.8 points, #30 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: Scored 3.1 points last game against a typical 7.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 10 carries and 1.3 targets a game.
- Played 31% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 6.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
31Woody MarksRB · HOU@TENFLEXProjected 6.8 · #31 among RBs6.8
3–11 rangeFLEX
Recent form
5
9
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.1 a game
This week's matchup
@TENGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 6.5
Game total
39.5
TEN vs RBs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
37%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.8 points, #31 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Averaging 7.3 carries and 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 37% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 6.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
32Braelon AllenRB · NYJvsCLEFLEXMore work with Breece Hall out6.2
3–10 rangeFLEX
Recent form
4
9
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 2.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsCLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYJ favored by 1.5
Game total
40.5
CLE vs RBs
7% fewer points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.2 points, #32 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Breece Hall out: more work to go around (about +2 points).
- Moves up to No. 1 RB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 6.3 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
33Blake CorumRB · LAvsBUFBENCHProjected 6.2 · 0.0 behind #326.2
3–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
5
10
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsBUFGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 2.5
Game total
52.5
BUF vs RBs
15% more points
Last game snaps
29%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.2 points, #33 among RBs this week, 0.0 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BUF's defense has allowed 15% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 9.3 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
- Played 29% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 6.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
34Emanuel WilsonRB · SEAvsSFBENCHProjected 6.2 · 0.0 behind #326.2
3–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
9
1
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsSFGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs RBs
8% more points
Last game snaps
36%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.2 points, #34 among RBs this week, 0.0 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Jadarian Price out: more work to go around (about +1.2 points).
- Averaging 10.7 carries and 0.3 targets a game.
- Played 36% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
35Ollie Gordon II▲RB · MIAvsCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot5.8
3–9 rangeBENCH
Recent form
1
15
W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 2.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsCINGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 8.5
Game total
46.5
CIN vs RBs
19% more points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.8 points, #35 among RBs this week, 0.4 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 14.5 points last game against a typical 2.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 carries and 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
36Brian Robinson▲RB · ATLvsBALBENCHProjected 5.0 · 1.2 behind #325.0
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
3
9
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 6
Game total
49.5
BAL vs RBs
4% more points
Last game snaps
27%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.0 points, #36 among RBs this week, 1.2 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 11 points last game against a typical 3.3 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 carries and 0.7 targets a game.
- Played 27% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
37Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAXvsPHIBENCHProjected 5.0 · 1.2 behind #325.0
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
2
1
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsPHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
44.5
PHI vs RBs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
21%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.0 points, #37 among RBs this week, 1.2 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 6.7 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 21% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
38MarShawn LloydRB · GBvsCHIBENCHProjected 4.8 · 1.4 behind #324.8
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
9
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsCHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 2.5
Game total
45.5
CHI vs RBs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
23%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.8 points, #38 among RBs this week, 1.4 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 7.7 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 23% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
39Ty JohnsonRB · BUF@LABENCHProjected 4.7 · 1.5 behind #324.7
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.3 a game
This week's matchup
@LAGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
BUF underdogs by 2.5
Game total
52.5
LA vs RBs
10% fewer points
Last game snaps
23%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #39 among RBs this week, 1.5 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 0 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 23% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
40Tyler AllgeierRB · ARIvsDETBENCHProjected 4.6 · 1.6 behind #324.6
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
4
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI underdogs by 5.5
Game total
52.5
DET vs RBs
10% fewer points
Last game snaps
36%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.6 points, #40 among RBs this week, 1.6 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 8 carries and 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 36% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
41George Holani▲RB · SEAvsSFBENCHProjected 4.6 · #41 among RBs4.6
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
3
3
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 1.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsSFGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs RBs
8% more points
Last game snaps
36%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.6 points, #41 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Upside: Scored 10.8 points last game against a typical 1.7 (trending up).
- Averaging 5 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 36% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 4.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
42Jaylen WrightRB · MIAvsCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot4.4
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
-0
1
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsCINGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 8.5
Game total
46.5
CIN vs RBs
19% more points
Last game snaps
5%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.4 points, #42 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: CIN's defense has allowed 19% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 1.5 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 5% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
43Kaytron AllenRB · WASvsNYGBENCHProjected 4.4 · #43 among RBs4.4
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
2
2
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYGGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
WAS favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
NYG vs RBs
14% more points
Last game snaps
8%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.4 points, #43 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Upside: NYG's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 4.5 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 8% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 4.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
44Keaton Mitchell▲RB · LACvsDENBENCHProjected 4.3 · #44 among RBs4.3
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
1
5
14
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 2.5
Game total
43.5
DEN vs RBs
7% fewer points
Last game snaps
38%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #44 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Upside: Scored 13.7 points last game against a typical 3.7 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.7 carries and 1.3 targets a game.
- Played 38% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
45Mike Washington Jr.▲RB · LV@NEBENCHProjected 4.3 · #45 among RBs4.3
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
1
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game
This week's matchup
@NEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 3.5
Game total
44.5
NE vs RBs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
16%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #45 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Upside: Scored 11.4 points last game against a typical 5.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 5 carries and 0.3 targets a game.
- Played 16% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
46Samaje PerineRB · CIN@MIABENCHProjected 4.2 · #46 among RBs4.2
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
8
3
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.6 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 8.5
Game total
46.5
MIA vs RBs
20% more points
Last game snaps
32%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #46 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Upside: MIA's defense has allowed 20% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.3 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 32% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
47Tyrone Tracy Jr.▼RB · NYG@WASBENCHScored 0.3 last game, typical 9.54.2
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
-1
0
0
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
43.5
WAS vs RBs
1% more points
Last game snaps
2%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #47 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Scored 0.3 points last game against a typical 9.5 (trending down).
- Averaging 1 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 2% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 3 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
48Lan LarisonRB · NEvsLVBENCHProjected 4.1 · #48 among RBs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
3
W1
Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NE favored by 3.5
Game total
44.5
LV vs RBs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
4%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #48 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Averaging 0 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 4% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
49Kendre MillerRB · NOvsMINBENCHMIN allow 18% fewer points to RBs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
4
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NO underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
MIN vs RBs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
19%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #49 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- MIN's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 6.5 carries and 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 19% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
50Tyjae SpearsQ▼RB · TENvsHOUBENCHQuestionable — ankle injury2.7
0–4 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
9
1
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsHOUGame page →
Expected team score
~17 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 6.5
Game total
39.5
HOU vs RBs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
47%
Why we say bench
- Projected 2.7 points, #50 among RBs this week, outside the top 32.
- Questionable — ankle injury.
- If active, about 4.4 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- Scored 0.5 points last game against a typical 7.4 (trending down).
- HOU's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
Projection 2.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.