Fantasy · Week 3 · 2026

Win your week. Start the right players.

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

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Early season: only 2 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

  1. 1ARITrey McBrideTE · ARI@SFSFMUST STARTProjected 9.4 · #1 among TEs7.5scored · proj 9.4

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 10.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    ARIARI@SFSFSFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    ARI underdogs by 7.5
    Game total
    48.5
    SF vs TEs
    6% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    88%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 9.4 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Averaging 11.5 targets a game.
    • Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  2. 2BUFDalton Kincaid▲TE · BUFvsLACLACMUST STARTScored 15.5 last game, typical 6.21.8scored · proj 9.1

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 6.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    BUFBUFvsLACLACLACGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    BUF favored by 7
    Game total
    50.5
    LAC vs TEs
    13% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    66%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 9.1 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 15.5 points last game against a typical 6.2 (trending up).
    • BUF's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Concern: LAC's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 7 targets a game.

    Projection 9.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  3. 3SFGeorge Kittle▲TE · SFvsARIARIMUST STARTARI allow 27% more points to TEs20.2scored · proj 8.8

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    SFSFvsARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    SF favored by 7.5
    Game total
    48.5
    ARI vs TEs
    27% more points
    Last game snaps
    48%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 8.8 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • ARI's defense has allowed 27% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • SF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
    • Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.8 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  4. 4KCTravis Kelce▲TE · KC@MIAMIAMUST STARTScored 16.1 last game, typical 6.211.9scored · proj 8.8

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 6.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    KCKC@MIAMIAMIAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    KC favored by 10
    Game total
    45.5
    MIA vs TEs
    20% more points
    Last game snaps
    85%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 8.8 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 16.1 points last game against a typical 6.2 (trending up).
    • MIA's defense has allowed 20% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 8 targets a game.
    • Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  5. 5LVBrock BowersTE · LV@NONOMUST STARTProjected 7.2 · #5 among TEs17.6scored · proj 7.2

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 8.0 a game.

    This week's matchup

    LVLV@NONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    LV underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    43.5
    NO vs TEs
    15% fewer points

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 7.2 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Concern: NO's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaged last season 7.2 targets a game.

    Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  6. 6GBTucker Kraft▼TE · GBvsATLATLSTARTProjected 6.8 · #6 among TEs2.6scored · proj 6.8

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    GBGBvsATLATLATLGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    GB favored by 4.5
    Game total
    43.5
    ATL vs TEs
    3% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    98%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 6.8 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: Scored 1.5 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending down).
    • Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
    • Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.8 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  7. 7DETSam LaPorta▲TE · DETvsNYJNYJSTARTScored 11.2 last game, typical 6.14.4scored · proj 6.7

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    DETDETvsNYJNYJNYJGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 7
    Game total
    49.5
    NYJ vs TEs
    3% more points
    Last game snaps
    98%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 6.7 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 11.2 points last game against a typical 6.1 (trending up).
    • DET's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 7.5 targets a game.
    • Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.7 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  8. 8INDTyler WarrenTE · INDvsHOUHOUSTARTMore work with Keenan Allen out5.7scored · proj 6.6

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    INDINDvsHOUHOUHOUGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    IND underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    41.5
    HOU vs TEs
    11% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    89%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 6.6 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.2 points).
    • Averaging 6 targets a game.
    • Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  9. 9HOUDalton Schultz▲TE · HOU@INDINDSTARTScored 14 last game, typical 53.0scored · proj 6.6

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 5.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    HOUHOU@INDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    HOU favored by 1.5
    Game total
    41.5
    IND vs TEs
    21% more points
    Last game snaps
    68%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 6.6 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 14 points last game against a typical 5 (trending up).
    • IND's defense has allowed 21% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 11 targets a game.
    • Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  10. 10NYGIsaiah LikelyTE · NYGvsTENTENSTARTProjected 6.5 · #10 among TEs1.3scored · proj 6.5

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 2.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYGNYGvsTENTENTENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    NYG favored by 2.5
    Game total
    37.5
    TEN vs TEs
    League average
    Wind
    10 mph
    Last game snaps
    69%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 6.5 points, #10 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Averaging 9 targets a game.
    • Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  11. 11MINT.J. HockensonTE · MIN@TBTBSTARTMore work with Justin Jefferson out1.1scored · proj 6.4

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 3.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@TBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 1.5
    Game total
    42.5
    TB vs TEs
    36% more points
    Last game snaps
    69%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 6.4 points, #11 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.9 points).
    • TB's defense has allowed 36% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
    • Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  12. 12CINMike Gesicki▲TE · CIN@PITPITSTARTScored 13.8 last game, typical 3.19.7scored · proj 6.1

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 3.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    CINCIN@PITPITPITGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    CIN favored by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    PIT vs TEs
    13% more points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    33%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 6.1 points, #12 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 13.8 points last game against a typical 3.1 (trending up).
    • PIT's defense has allowed 13% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 7 targets a game.
    • Played 33% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  13. 13NOJuwan JohnsonTE · NOvsLVLVFLEXProjected 5.6 · #13 among TEs15.3scored · proj 5.6

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 5.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    NONOvsLVLVLVGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    NO favored by 3.5
    Game total
    43.5
    LV vs TEs
    24% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    53%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 5.6 points, #13 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
    • Concern: LV's defense has allowed 24% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 5.5 targets a game.
    • Played 53% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  14. 14PITPat FreiermuthTE · PITvsCINCINFLEXCIN allow 66% more points to TEs3.1scored · proj 5.5

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 4.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    PITPITvsCINCINCINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    PIT underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    CIN vs TEs
    66% more points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    66%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 5.5 points, #14 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
    • CIN's defense has allowed 66% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Concern: PIT's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 5 targets a game.
    • Played 66% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  15. 15DALJake Ferguson▲TE · DALvsBALBALFLEXScored 16.3 last game, typical 5.66.3scored · proj 5.2

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 5.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsBALBALBALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL underdogs by 3
    Game total
    53.5
    BAL vs TEs
    21% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    60%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 5.2 points, #15 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
    • Scored 16.3 points last game against a typical 5.6 (trending up).
    • DAL's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Concern: BAL's defense has allowed 21% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 3 targets a game.

    Projection 5.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  16. 16SEAAJ BarnerTE · SEA@WASWASFLEXWAS allow 54% more points to TEs6.9scored · proj 5.1

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 5.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    SEASEA@WASWASWASGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    SEA favored by 8.5
    Game total
    40.5
    WAS vs TEs
    54% more points
    Wind
    13 mph
    Last game snaps
    80%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 5.1 points, #16 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
    • WAS's defense has allowed 54% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 1.5 targets a game.
    • Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  17. 17NEHunter HenryTE · NE@JAXJAXBENCHProjected 5.0 · 0.1 behind #160.5scored · proj 5.0

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 6.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    NENE@JAXJAXJAXGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    NE underdogs by 3
    Game total
    46.5
    JAX vs TEs
    6% more points
    Last game snaps
    91%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 5.0 points, #17 among TEs this week, 0.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Averaging 4 targets a game.
    • Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  18. 18CLEHarold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEvsCARCARBENCHCLE expected to score only ~20, a tough spot17.1scored · proj 5.0

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    CLECLEvsCARCARCARGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    CLE underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    41.5
    CAR vs TEs
    2% more points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    86%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 5.0 points, #18 among TEs this week, 0.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
    • Played 86% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  19. 19PHIZach ErtzTE · PHI@CHICHIBENCHCHI allow 12% fewer points to TEs0.9scored · proj 4.8

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 5.1 a game.

    This week's matchup

    PHIPHI@CHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    PHI favored by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    CHI vs TEs
    12% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.8 points, #19 among TEs this week, 0.3 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • CHI's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaged last season 5.5 targets a game.

    Projection 4.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  20. 20ATLKyle Pitts▼TE · ATL@GBGBBENCHScored 1.5 last game, typical 6.50.5scored · proj 4.6

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    ATLATL@GBGBGBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    ATL underdogs by 4.5
    Game total
    43.5
    GB vs TEs
    17% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    38%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.6 points, #20 among TEs this week, 0.5 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Scored 1.5 points last game against a typical 6.5 (trending down).
    • GB's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 2 targets a game.
    • Played 38% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  21. 21JAXBrenton StrangeTE · JAXvsNENEBENCHNE allow 12% fewer points to TEs3.2scored · proj 4.5

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    JAXJAXvsNENENEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    JAX favored by 3
    Game total
    46.5
    NE vs TEs
    12% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    83%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.5 points, #21 among TEs this week, 0.6 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • NE's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 2.5 targets a game.
    • Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  22. 22BALMark AndrewsTE · BAL@DALDALBENCHProjected 4.4 · 0.7 behind #162.4scored · proj 4.4

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    BALBAL@DALDALDALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    BAL favored by 3
    Game total
    53.5
    DAL vs TEs
    1% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    71%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.4 points, #22 among TEs this week, 0.7 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
    • Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  23. 23LACOronde Gadsden IITE · LAC@BUFBUFBENCHBUF allow 29% fewer points to TEs0.0scored · proj 4.2

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 4.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    LACLAC@BUFBUFBUFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    LAC underdogs by 7
    Game total
    50.5
    BUF vs TEs
    29% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    44%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.2 points, #23 among TEs this week, 0.9 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • BUF's defense has allowed 29% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
    • Averaging 2 targets a game.
    • Played 44% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  24. 24CHIColston Loveland▼TE · CHIvsPHIPHIBENCHScored 0.3 last game, typical 5.93.1scored · proj 3.7

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    CHICHIvsPHIPHIPHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    CHI underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    PHI vs TEs
    51% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    86%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.7 points, #24 among TEs this week, 1.4 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Scored 0.3 points last game against a typical 5.9 (trending down).
    • PHI's defense has allowed 51% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 2.5 targets a game.
    • Played 86% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  25. 25WASChig OkonkwoTE · WASvsSEASEABENCHWAS expected to score only ~16, a tough spot3.51–6 range

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 3.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    WASWASvsSEASEASEAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~16 pts
    Vegas line
    WAS underdogs by 8.5
    Game total
    40.5
    SEA vs TEs
    9% more points
    Wind
    13 mph
    Last game snaps
    56%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.5 points, #25 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • WAS's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 3 targets a game.
    • Played 56% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  26. 26CARDarren Waller▲TE · CAR@CLECLEBENCHCLE allow 12% fewer points to TEs5.1scored · proj 3.4

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    CARCAR@CLECLECLEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    CAR favored by 2.5
    Game total
    41.5
    CLE vs TEs
    12% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    44%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.4 points, #26 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • CLE's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Upside: Scored 15.3 points last game against a typical 5.9 (trending up).
    • Averaging 2.5 targets a game.
    • Played 44% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  27. 27DENEvan EngramTE · DENvsLALABENCHLA allow 15% fewer points to TEs0.0scored · proj 3.1

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 2.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    DENDENvsLALALAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    DEN favored by 1.5
    Game total
    43.5
    LA vs TEs
    15% fewer points
    Wind
    10 mph
    Last game snaps
    52%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.1 points, #27 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • LA's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 3 targets a game.
    • Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  28. 28SFKhalil DinkinsTE · SFvsARIARIBENCHProjected 3.0 · #28 among TEs3.01–5 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    SFSFvsARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    SF favored by 7.5
    Game total
    48.5
    ARI vs TEs
    27% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.0 points, #28 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 27% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  29. 29KCThomas OdukoyaTE · KC@MIAMIABENCHProjected 3.0 · #29 among TEs3.01–5 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    KCKC@MIAMIAMIAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    KC favored by 10
    Game total
    45.5
    MIA vs TEs
    20% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.0 points, #29 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: MIA's defense has allowed 20% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  30. 30MIAGreg DulcichTE · MIAvsKCKCBENCHKC allow 13% fewer points to TEs5.5scored · proj 3.0

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 3.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    MIAMIAvsKCKCKCGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~18 pts
    Vegas line
    MIA underdogs by 10
    Game total
    45.5
    KC vs TEs
    13% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    61%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.0 points, #30 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • KC's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • MIA's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 2.5 targets a game.
    • Played 61% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  31. 31NYJKenyon SadiqQTE · NYJ@DETDETBENCHQuestionable — back injury16.5scored · proj 2.8

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 2.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYJNYJ@DETDETDETGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYJ underdogs by 7
    Game total
    49.5
    DET vs TEs
    39% more points
    Last game snaps
    36%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 2.8 points, #31 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Questionable — back injury.
    • If active, about 4.5 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
    • Upside: Adonai Mitchell and Breece Hall out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
    • Averaging 3 targets a game.

    Projection 2.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  32. 32LAColby ParkinsonQTE · LA@DENDENBENCHQuestionable — shoulder (AC Joint) injury0.0scored · proj 1.7

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 5.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    LALA@DENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LA underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    43.5
    DEN vs TEs
    6% fewer points
    Wind
    10 mph
    Last game snaps
    71%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 1.7 points, #32 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Questionable — shoulder (AC Joint) injury.
    • Official practice report: Did not practice, knee injury. If active, about 4.1 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
    • Averaging 2 targets a game.
    • Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 1.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  33. –NYJConnor HulsteinIRTE · NYJ@DETDETOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    NYJNYJ@DETDETDETGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYJ underdogs by 7
    Game total
    49.5
    DET vs TEs
    39% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  34. –DALDJ RogersIRTE · DALvsBALBALOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsBALBALBALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL underdogs by 3
    Game total
    53.5
    BAL vs TEs
    21% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  35. –ARIJameson GeersIRTE · ARI@SFSFOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    ARIARI@SFSFSFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    ARI underdogs by 7.5
    Game total
    48.5
    SF vs TEs
    6% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  36. –MINBen YurosekIRTE · MIN@TBTBOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 0.2 a game.

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@TBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 1.5
    Game total
    42.5
    TB vs TEs
    36% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaged last season 0.5 targets a game.
    • No. 3 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  37. –DALPrinceton FantIRTE · DALvsBALBALOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 0.0 a game.

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsBALBALBALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL underdogs by 3
    Game total
    53.5
    BAL vs TEs
    21% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  38. –GBLuke MusgraveIRTE · GBvsATLATLOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 1.7 a game.

    This week's matchup

    GBGBvsATLATLATLGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    GB favored by 4.5
    Game total
    43.5
    ATL vs TEs
    3% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaged last season 2.4 targets a game.
    • No. 5 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  39. –CHIHayden LargeIRTE · CHIvsPHIPHIOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    CHICHIvsPHIPHIPHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    CHI underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    PHI vs TEs
    51% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  40. –GBMcCallan CastlesIRTE · GBvsATLATLOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    GBGBvsATLATLATLGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    GB favored by 4.5
    Game total
    43.5
    ATL vs TEs
    3% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  41. –PHIGrant CalcaterraIRTE · PHI@CHICHIOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 1.2 a game.

    This week's matchup

    PHIPHI@CHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    PHI favored by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    CHI vs TEs
    12% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaged last season 1.4 targets a game.
    • No. 3 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  42. –LACDavid NjokuIRTE · LAC@BUFBUFOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 4.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    LACLAC@BUFBUFBUFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    LAC underdogs by 7
    Game total
    50.5
    BUF vs TEs
    29% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    16%

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaging 4 targets a game.
    • Played 16% of the offense's snaps last game.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  43. –TBKo KieftOUTTE · TBvsMINMINOUTOut — elbow injury0.0scored · proj 0.0

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 0.0 a game.

    This week's matchup

    TBTBvsMINMINMINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    TB underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    42.5
    MIN vs TEs
    22% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • Out — elbow injury.
    • No. 3 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  44. –PHIDallas GoedertOUT▼TE · PHI@CHICHIOUTOut — knee (MCL) injury0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    PHIPHI@CHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    PHI favored by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    CHI vs TEs
    12% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    25%

    Why we say out

    • Out — knee (MCL) injury.
    • Averaging 3.5 targets a game.
    • Played 25% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  45. –LVCarter RunyonIRTE · LV@NONOOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 0.1 a game.

    This week's matchup

    LVLV@NONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    LV underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    43.5
    NO vs TEs
    15% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaged last season 0.3 targets a game.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  46. –CLEJoe RoyerIRTE · CLEvsCARCAROUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    CLECLEvsCARCARCARGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    CLE underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    41.5
    CAR vs TEs
    2% more points
    Wind
    12 mph

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 4 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  47. –MINJosh OliverIRTE · MIN@TBTBOUTOn injured reserve — biceps injury0.0scored · proj 0.0

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 2.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@TBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 1.5
    Game total
    42.5
    TB vs TEs
    36% more points
    Last game snaps
    60%

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve — biceps injury.
    • Averaging 2.5 targets a game.
    • Played 60% of the offense's snaps last game.
    • No. 2 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  48. –KCJohn Michael GyllenborgIRTE · KC@MIAMIAOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    KCKC@MIAMIAMIAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    KC favored by 10
    Game total
    45.5
    MIA vs TEs
    20% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 5 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  49. –NEJulian HillIRTE · NE@JAXJAXOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 1.2 a game.

    This week's matchup

    NENE@JAXJAXJAXGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    NE underdogs by 3
    Game total
    46.5
    JAX vs TEs
    6% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaged last season 1.8 targets a game.
    • No. 5 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  50. –MINBryson NesbitIRTE · MIN@TBTBOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@TBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 1.5
    Game total
    42.5
    TB vs TEs
    36% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.