Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

Early season: only 3 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

1Trey McBrideTE · ARI@NYGMUST STARTProjected 15.0 · #1 among TEs15.0
5–27 rangeMUST START
Recent form
25
18
17
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.6 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs TEs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
91%
Why we say must start
- Projected 15.0 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Concern: NYG's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.3 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 15.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Brock Bowers▲TE · LVvsKCMUST STARTScored 27.6 last game, typical 12.614.9
5–26 rangeMUST START
Recent form
28
W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs TEs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
79%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.9 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 27.6 points last game against a typical 12.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 13 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
3George Kittle▲TE · SFvsDENMUST STARTScored 26.2 last game, typical 12.414.1
5–25 rangeMUST START
Recent form
3
18
26
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 3
Game total
47.5
DEN vs TEs
5% more points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.1 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 26.2 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending up).
- SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Tyler Warren▲TE · IND@WASMUST STARTScored 14.7 last game, typical 9.914.0
5–25 rangeMUST START
Recent form
10
14
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs TEs
30% more points
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.0 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 14.7 points last game against a typical 9.9 (trending up).
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.8 points).
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Travis KelceTE · KC@LVMUST STARTKC expected to score ~26, a strong spot12.3
4–22 rangeMUST START
Recent form
10
25
14
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs TEs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
79%
Why we say must start
- Projected 12.3 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Juwan Johnson▲TE · NOvsATLSTARTScored 23.3 last game, typical 9.511.7
4–21 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
11
23
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 2.5
Game total
47.5
ATL vs TEs
10% fewer points
Last game snaps
62%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.7 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 23.3 points last game against a typical 9.5 (trending up).
- NO's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Dalton SchultzTE · HOUvsDALSTARTHOU expected to score ~26, a strong spot11.2
4–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
26
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsDALGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs TEs
2% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
54%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.2 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- HOU's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 54% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Harold Fannin Jr.▲TE · CLEvsPITSTARTScored 24.1 last game, typical 10.411.7
scored · proj 10.7START
Recent form
4
10
24
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsPITGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
38.5
PIT vs TEs
9% more points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
86%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.7 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 24.1 points last game against a typical 10.4 (trending up).
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 86% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Dalton Kincaid▼TE · BUFvsNESTARTBUF expected to score ~28, a strong spot10.6
4–19 rangeSTART
Recent form
18
23
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs TEs
12% fewer points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.6 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 3.8 points last game against a typical 9 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Sam LaPortaTE · DET@CARSTARTDET expected to score ~27, a strong spot10.4
4–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
10
17
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.7 a game
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs TEs
3% more points
Last game snaps
92%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.4 points, #10 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 92% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Jake FergusonTE · DAL@HOUSTARTProjected 9.3 · #11 among TEs9.3
3–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
3
20
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs TEs
6% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.3 points, #11 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Mike Gesicki▲TE · CINvsJAXSTARTScored 12.7 last game, typical 5.19.0
3–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
19
13
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsJAXGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs TEs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
51%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.0 points, #12 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 12.7 points last game against a typical 5.1 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Kyle Pitts▼TE · ATL@NOFLEXProjected 8.9 · #13 among TEs8.9
3–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
0
3
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 2.5
Game total
47.5
NO vs TEs
10% more points
Last game snaps
59%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.9 points, #13 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Concern: Scored 1.5 points last game against a typical 11.1 (trending down).
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Tucker Kraft▼TE · GB@TBFLEXTB allow 18% more points to TEs8.8
3–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
10
4
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.7 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 3
Game total
38.5
TB vs TEs
18% more points
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.8 points, #14 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- TB's defense has allowed 18% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 6.6 points last game against a typical 11.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
15T.J. HockensonTE · MINvsMIAFLEXMore work with Justin Jefferson out8.2
3–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
14
6
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsMIAGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs TEs
21% more points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.2 points, #15 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.6 points).
- MIA's defense has allowed 21% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGvsARIFLEXARI allow 28% more points to TEs8.1
3–14 rangeFLEX
Recent form
28
8
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
ARI vs TEs
28% more points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.1 points, #16 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- ARI's defense has allowed 28% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Brenton StrangeTE · JAX@CINBENCHProjected 7.9 · 0.2 behind #167.9
3–14 rangeBENCH
Recent form
10
4
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
@CINGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs TEs
49% more points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.9 points, #17 among TEs this week, 0.2 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: CIN's defense has allowed 49% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Zach Ertz▼TE · PHIvsLABENCHLA allow 13% fewer points to TEs7.2
3–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
2
W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsLAGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
PHI underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
LA vs TEs
13% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
38%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.2 points, #18 among TEs this week, 0.9 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- LA's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Scored 1.9 points last game against a typical 8.4 (trending down).
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
19AJ Barner▲TE · SEAvsLACBENCHLAC allow 18% fewer points to TEs7.1
3–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
3
8
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 7
Game total
42.5
LAC vs TEs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
91%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.1 points, #19 among TEs this week, 1.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- LAC's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 11.9 points last game against a typical 7.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Mark AndrewsTE · BALvsTENBENCHProjected 7.0 · 1.1 behind #167.0
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
11
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs TEs
8% fewer points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.0 points, #20 among TEs this week, 1.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Chig OkonkwoTE · WASvsINDBENCHProjected 7.0 · 1.1 behind #167.0
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
W1
Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs TEs
18% more points
Last game snaps
56%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.0 points, #21 among TEs this week, 1.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 56% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Colston LovelandTE · CHIvsNYJBENCHProjected 6.7 · 1.4 behind #166.7
2–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
1
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs TEs
2% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
79%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.7 points, #22 among TEs this week, 1.4 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Hunter Henry▼TE · NE@BUFBENCHScored 1.5 last game, typical 9.46.1
2–11 rangeBENCH
Recent form
6
7
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.4 a game
This week's matchup
@BUFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
BUF vs TEs
37% fewer points
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.1 points, #23 among TEs this week, 2.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 1.5 points last game against a typical 9.4 (trending down).
- BUF's defense has allowed 37% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Cade OttonTE · TBvsGBBENCHTB expected to score only ~18, a tough spot6.1
2–11 rangeBENCH
Recent form
6
9
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsGBGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 3
Game total
38.5
GB vs TEs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.1 points, #24 among TEs this week, 2.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- TB's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Oronde Gadsden II▼TE · LAC@SEABENCHScored 0 last game, typical 7.76.0
2–11 rangeBENCH
Recent form
5
10
0
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 7
Game total
42.5
SEA vs TEs
3% more points
Last game snaps
57%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.0 points, #25 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 7.7 (trending down).
- LAC's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 2.3 targets a game.
Projection 6.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Darren WallerTE · CARvsDETBENCHProjected 5.9 · #26 among TEs5.9
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
5
18
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs TEs
42% more points
Last game snaps
51%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.9 points, #26 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 42% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 5.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Kenny Fletcher Jr.TE · IND@WASBENCHProjected 5.1 · #27 among TEs5.1
2–9 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs TEs
30% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.1 points, #27 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 30% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 5.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
28Greg Dulcich▲TE · MIA@MINBENCHMIN allow 23% fewer points to TEs4.9
2–9 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
4
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.7 a game
This week's matchup
@MINGame page →
Expected team score
~14 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 10
Game total
38.5
MIN vs TEs
23% fewer points
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.9 points, #28 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- MIN's defense has allowed 23% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 14 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 10.5 points last game against a typical 5.7 (trending up).
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
Projection 4.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
29Miles KitselmanTE · DET@CARBENCHProjected 4.7 · #29 among TEs4.7
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs TEs
3% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #29 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 4.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
30Thomas GordonTE · DET@CARBENCHProjected 4.7 · #30 among TEs4.7
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs TEs
3% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #30 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 4.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
31Joshua SimonTE · WASvsINDBENCHProjected 4.7 · #31 among TEs4.7
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs TEs
18% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #31 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: IND's defense has allowed 18% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
32Evan Engram▼TE · DEN@SFBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 5.74.7
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
14
3
0
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.7 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
DEN underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs TEs
3% more points
Last game snaps
60%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #32 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 5.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 60% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
33Kenyon SadiqQ▲TE · NYJ@CHIBENCHQuestionable — back injury4.7
0–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
11
4
24
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
@CHIGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYJ underdogs by 3.5
Game total
43.5
CHI vs TEs
12% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
58%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #33 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Questionable — back injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, back injury. If active, about 7.2 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- CHI's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 23.5 points last game against a typical 4.4 (trending up).
Projection 4.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
34Jack VellingTE · ATL@NOBENCHProjected 4.6 · #34 among TEs4.6
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 2.5
Game total
47.5
NO vs TEs
10% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.6 points, #34 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.6 · Low confidence · Full player page →
35Khalil DinkinsTE · SFvsDENBENCHProjected 4.6 · #35 among TEs4.6
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 3
Game total
47.5
DEN vs TEs
5% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.6 points, #35 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 4.6 · Low confidence · Full player page →
36Nick VannettTE · BALvsTENBENCHProjected 4.5 · #36 among TEs4.5
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs TEs
8% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.5 points, #36 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 4.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
37Thomas OdukoyaTE · KC@LVBENCHProjected 4.5 · #37 among TEs4.5
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs TEs
2% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.5 points, #37 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 4.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
38Qadir IsmailTE · CHIvsNYJBENCHProjected 4.4 · #38 among TEs4.4
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs TEs
2% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.4 points, #38 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →
39Stephen CarlsonTE · CHIvsNYJBENCHProjected 4.4 · #39 among TEs4.4
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs TEs
2% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.4 points, #39 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →
40Michael TriggTE · DAL@HOUBENCHProjected 4.3 · #40 among TEs4.3
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs TEs
6% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #40 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
41Tyler Higbee▲TE · LA@PHIBENCHPHI allow 41% fewer points to TEs4.3
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
1
20
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs TEs
41% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
71%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #41 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- PHI's defense has allowed 41% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 20.2 points last game against a typical 5.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.3 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
42Mitch Van VoorenTE · DAL@HOUBENCHProjected 4.3 · #42 among TEs4.3
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs TEs
6% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #42 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
43Darnell Washington▲TE · PIT@CLEBENCHProjected 4.3 · #43 among TEs11.7
scored · proj 4.3BENCH
Recent form
4
2
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.9 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs TEs
4% fewer points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #43 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: Scored 9.7 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
44Shawn BowmanTE · ARI@NYGBENCHNYG allow 13% fewer points to TEs4.2
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs TEs
13% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #44 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- NYG's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
45Evan SvobodaTE · LAC@SEABENCHLAC expected to score only ~18, a tough spot4.2
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 7
Game total
42.5
SEA vs TEs
3% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #45 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- LAC's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
46Lake McReeTE · PIT@CLEBENCHProjected 4.2 · #46 among TEs4.2
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs TEs
4% fewer points
Wind
11 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #46 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
47Tommy TrembleTE · CARvsDETBENCHProjected 4.2 · #47 among TEs4.2
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
6
1
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs TEs
42% more points
Last game snaps
48%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #47 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 42% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
48Patrick HerbertTE · LAC@SEABENCHLAC expected to score only ~18, a tough spot4.2
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 7
Game total
42.5
SEA vs TEs
3% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #48 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- LAC's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
49Chris MyarickTE · LVvsKCBENCHProjected 4.1 · #49 among TEs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs TEs
11% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #49 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
50Patrick GurdTE · LVvsKCBENCHProjected 4.1 · #50 among TEs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs TEs
11% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #50 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.