Fantasy · Week 3 · 2026
Win your week. Start the right players.
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Our top pick at every position
Josh Allen
BUF vs LAC
17.5scored
MUST STARTScored 40.8 last game, typical 20.3
Running back · #1Jahmyr Gibbs
DET vs NYJ
41.4scored
MUST STARTDET expected to score ~28, a strong spot
Wide receiver · #1Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA @ WAS
35.4scored
MUST STARTScored 42.5 last game, typical 18.9
Tight end · #1Trey McBride
ARI @ SF
16.5scored
MUST STARTProjected 15.9 · #1 among TEs
Kicker · #1Ka'imi Fairbairn
HOU @ IND
5.0scored
MUST STARTProjected 10.6 · #1 among kickers
Defense · #1Seahawks D/ST
SEA @ WAS
1.0scored
MUST STARTWAS expected to score only ~16, a good spot
Your toolkit
Full rankings
Each position has its own page: QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · Flex rankings · K rankings · D/ST rankings
Early season: only 2 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.
1Trey McBrideTE · ARI@SFMUST STARTProjected 15.9 · #1 among TEs16.5
scored · proj 15.9MUST STARTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 16.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI underdogs by 7.5
- Game total
- 48.5
- SF vs TEs
- 2% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 88%
Why we say must start
- Projected 15.9 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Averaging 11.5 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 15.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Travis Kelce▲TE · KC@MIAMUST STARTScored 25.1 last game, typical 10.213.9
scored · proj 13.8MUST STARTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- KC favored by 10
- Game total
- 45.5
- MIA vs TEs
- 19% more points
- Last game snaps
- 85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 13.8 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 25.1 points last game against a typical 10.2 (trending up).
- MIA's defense has allowed 19% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
3George Kittle▲TE · SFvsARIMUST STARTARI allow 23% more points to TEs26.2
scored · proj 13.3MUST STARTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- SF favored by 7.5
- Game total
- 48.5
- ARI vs TEs
- 23% more points
- Last game snaps
- 48%
Why we say must start
- Projected 13.3 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- ARI's defense has allowed 23% more points to TEs than the league average.
- SF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.3 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
4Dalton Kincaid▲TE · BUFvsLACMUST STARTScored 22.5 last game, typical 93.8
scored · proj 13.0MUST STARTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- BUF favored by 7
- Game total
- 50.5
- LAC vs TEs
- 12% fewer points
- Wind
- 12 mph
- Last game snaps
- 66%
Why we say must start
- Projected 13.0 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 22.5 points last game against a typical 9 (trending up).
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: LAC's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 7 targets a game.
Projection 13.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Dalton Schultz▲TE · HOU@INDMUST STARTScored 26 last game, typical 9.46.0
scored · proj 12.6MUST STARTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 9.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- HOU favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- IND vs TEs
- 21% more points
- Last game snaps
- 68%
Why we say must start
- Projected 12.6 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 26 points last game against a typical 9.4 (trending up).
- IND's defense has allowed 21% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 11 targets a game.
- Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Brock BowersTE · LV@NOSTARTProjected 11.7 · #6 among TEs27.6
scored · proj 11.7STARTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 12.6 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NO vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
Why we say start
- Projected 11.7 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaged last season 7.2 targets a game.
Projection 11.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
7T.J. HockensonTE · MIN@TBSTARTMore work with Justin Jefferson out3.1
scored · proj 11.0STARTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 6.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 42.5
- TB vs TEs
- 29% more points
- Last game snaps
- 69%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.0 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +3.3 points).
- TB's defense has allowed 29% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Tyler Warren▲TE · INDvsHOUSTARTMore work with Keenan Allen out14.7
scored · proj 11.0STARTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- IND underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- HOU vs TEs
- 9% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 89%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.0 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +2.2 points).
- Scored 14.4 points last game against a typical 9.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Sam LaPorta▲TE · DETvsNYJSTARTScored 17.2 last game, typical 9.77.4
scored · proj 11.0STARTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 9.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 7
- Game total
- 49.5
- NYJ vs TEs
- 1% more points
- Last game snaps
- 98%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.0 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 17.2 points last game against a typical 9.7 (trending up).
- DET's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 7.5 targets a game.
- Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
10Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGvsTENSTARTProjected 10.4 · #10 among TEs3.3
scored · proj 10.4STARTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- NYG favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 37.5
- TEN vs TEs
- League average
- Wind
- 10 mph
- Last game snaps
- 69%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.4 points, #10 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Tucker Kraft▼TE · GBvsATLSTARTProjected 9.5 · #11 among TEs6.6
scored · proj 9.5STARTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 11.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- GB favored by 4.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- ATL vs TEs
- 7% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 98%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.5 points, #11 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Concern: Scored 3.5 points last game against a typical 11.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
- Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
12Mike Gesicki▲TE · CIN@PITSTARTScored 18.8 last game, typical 5.112.7
scored · proj 9.4STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- CIN favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 42.5
- PIT vs TEs
- 9% more points
- Wind
- 12 mph
- Last game snaps
- 33%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.4 points, #12 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 18.8 points last game against a typical 5.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 7 targets a game.
- Played 33% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Juwan JohnsonTE · NOvsLVFLEXProjected 9.0 · #13 among TEs23.3
scored · proj 9.0FLEXRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- NO favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- LV vs TEs
- 23% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 53%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.0 points, #13 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Concern: LV's defense has allowed 23% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 53% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Pat FreiermuthTE · PITvsCINFLEXCIN allow 54% more points to TEs5.1
scored · proj 8.8FLEXRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 6.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 42.5
- CIN vs TEs
- 54% more points
- Wind
- 12 mph
- Last game snaps
- 66%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.8 points, #14 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- CIN's defense has allowed 54% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Concern: PIT's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 66% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Jake Ferguson▲TE · DALvsBALFLEXDAL expected to score ~25, a strong spot9.3
scored · proj 8.7FLEXRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 53.5
- BAL vs TEs
- 17% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 60%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.7 points, #15 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Scored 20.3 points last game against a typical 9.9 (trending up).
- Concern: BAL's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
Projection 8.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Zach ErtzTE · PHI@CHIFLEXProjected 8.3 · #16 among TEs1.9
scored · proj 8.3FLEXRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 8.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PHI favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 42.5
- CHI vs TEs
- 5% fewer points
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.3 points, #16 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Averaged last season 5.5 targets a game.
Projection 8.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Kyle Pitts▼TE · ATL@GBBENCHScored 2.5 last game, typical 11.11.5
scored · proj 8.2BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 4.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- GB vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 38%
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.2 points, #17 among TEs this week, 0.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 2.5 points last game against a typical 11.1 (trending down).
- ATL's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
- Played 38% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLEvsCARBENCHCLE expected to score only ~20, a tough spot24.1
scored · proj 8.1BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 10.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- CLE underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- CAR vs TEs
- 3% fewer points
- Wind
- 12 mph
- Last game snaps
- 86%
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.1 points, #18 among TEs this week, 0.2 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
- Played 86% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Mark Andrews▲TE · BAL@DALBENCHProjected 8.0 · 0.3 behind #165.4
scored · proj 8.0BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 6.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 3
- Game total
- 53.5
- DAL vs TEs
- League average
- Last game snaps
- 71%
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.0 points, #19 among TEs this week, 0.3 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 10.9 points last game against a typical 6.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
20AJ BarnerTE · SEA@WASBENCHProjected 7.8 · 0.5 behind #1611.9
scored · proj 7.8BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 7.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- SEA favored by 8.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- WAS vs TEs
- 30% more points
- Wind
- 13 mph
- Last game snaps
- 80%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.8 points, #20 among TEs this week, 0.5 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 30% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Hunter HenryTE · NE@JAXBENCHProjected 7.8 · 0.5 behind #161.5
scored · proj 7.8BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 9.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- NE underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 46.5
- JAX vs TEs
- 6% more points
- Last game snaps
- 91%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.8 points, #21 among TEs this week, 0.5 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Brenton Strange▼TE · JAXvsNEBENCHScored 3.7 last game, typical 8.46.2
scored · proj 7.3BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- JAX favored by 3
- Game total
- 46.5
- NE vs TEs
- 7% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 83%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.3 points, #22 among TEs this week, 1.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 3.7 points last game against a typical 8.4 (trending down).
- Averaging 2.5 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC@BUFBENCHBUF allow 30% fewer points to TEs0.0
scored · proj 6.6BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 7
- Game total
- 50.5
- BUF vs TEs
- 30% fewer points
- Wind
- 12 mph
- Last game snaps
- 44%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.6 points, #23 among TEs this week, 1.7 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- BUF's defense has allowed 30% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
- Played 44% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Chig OkonkwoTE · WASvsSEABENCHWAS expected to score only ~16, a tough spot6.4
2–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~16 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS underdogs by 8.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- SEA vs TEs
- 12% more points
- Wind
- 13 mph
- Last game snaps
- 56%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.4 points, #24 among TEs this week, 1.9 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- WAS's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Jayden Daniels and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 56% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Cade OttonTE · TBvsMINBENCHMIN allow 21% fewer points to TEs8.6
scored · proj 5.7BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 42.5
- MIN vs TEs
- 21% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 89%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.7 points, #25 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- MIN's defense has allowed 21% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Colston Loveland▼TE · CHIvsPHIBENCHScored 1.3 last game, typical 9.27.1
scored · proj 5.7BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 9.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 42.5
- PHI vs TEs
- 42% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 86%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.7 points, #26 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Scored 1.3 points last game against a typical 9.2 (trending down).
- PHI's defense has allowed 42% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 2.5 targets a game.
- Played 86% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Evan EngramTE · DENvsLABENCHProjected 5.6 · #27 among TEs0.0
scored · proj 5.6BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 5.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- DEN favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- LA vs TEs
- 9% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
- Last game snaps
- 52%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.6 points, #27 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
28Greg DulcichTE · MIAvsKCBENCHMIA expected to score only ~18, a tough spot10.5
scored · proj 5.5BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 5.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~18 pts
- Vegas line
- MIA underdogs by 10
- Game total
- 45.5
- KC vs TEs
- 9% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 61%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.5 points, #28 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: De'Von Achane and Caleb Douglas out: more work to go around (about +1.3 points).
- Averaging 2.5 targets a game.
- Played 61% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
29Khalil DinkinsTE · SFvsARIBENCHProjected 5.2 · #29 among TEs5.2
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- SF favored by 7.5
- Game total
- 48.5
- ARI vs TEs
- 23% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.2 points, #29 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 23% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 5.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
30Thomas OdukoyaTE · KC@MIABENCHProjected 5.1 · #30 among TEs5.1
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- KC favored by 10
- Game total
- 45.5
- MIA vs TEs
- 19% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.1 points, #30 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: MIA's defense has allowed 19% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 5.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
31Cody HardyTE · NYJ@DETBENCHProjected 4.8 · #31 among TEs4.8
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYJ underdogs by 7
- Game total
- 49.5
- DET vs TEs
- 27% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.8 points, #31 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 27% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →
32Nick VannettTE · BAL@DALBENCHProjected 4.7 · #32 among TEs4.7
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 3
- Game total
- 53.5
- DAL vs TEs
- League average
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #32 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 4.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
33Darren Waller▲TE · CAR@CLEBENCHProjected 4.7 · #33 among TEs10.1
scored · proj 4.7BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 8.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CAR favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- CLE vs TEs
- 11% fewer points
- Wind
- 12 mph
- Last game snaps
- 44%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #33 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: Scored 18.3 points last game against a typical 8.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 2.5 targets a game.
- Played 44% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 4.7 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
34Miles KitselmanTE · DETvsNYJBENCHProjected 4.7 · #34 among TEs4.7
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 7
- Game total
- 49.5
- NYJ vs TEs
- 1% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #34 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 4.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
35Thomas GordonTE · DETvsNYJBENCHProjected 4.7 · #35 among TEs4.7
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 7
- Game total
- 49.5
- NYJ vs TEs
- 1% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #35 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 4.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
36Lake McReeTE · PITvsCINBENCHPIT expected to score only ~20, a tough spot4.7
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 42.5
- CIN vs TEs
- 54% more points
- Wind
- 12 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #36 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- PIT's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: CIN's defense has allowed 54% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
37Kenyon SadiqQTE · NYJ@DETBENCHQuestionable — back injury23.5
scored · proj 4.5BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYJ underdogs by 7
- Game total
- 49.5
- DET vs TEs
- 27% more points
- Last game snaps
- 36%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.5 points, #37 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Questionable — back injury.
- If active, about 7.3 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- Upside: Adonai Mitchell and Breece Hall out: more work to go around (about +2 points).
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
Projection 4.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
38Michael TriggTE · DALvsBALBENCHBAL allow 17% fewer points to TEs4.2
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 53.5
- BAL vs TEs
- 17% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #38 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- BAL's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: DAL's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
39Dan VillariTE · LA@DENBENCHProjected 4.2 · #39 among TEs4.2
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LA underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- DEN vs TEs
- 3% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #39 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
40Shawn BowmanTE · ARI@SFBENCHProjected 4.2 · #40 among TEs4.2
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI underdogs by 7.5
- Game total
- 48.5
- SF vs TEs
- 2% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #40 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
41Mitch Van VoorenTE · DALvsBALBENCHBAL allow 17% fewer points to TEs4.2
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 53.5
- BAL vs TEs
- 17% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #41 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- BAL's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: DAL's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
42Joshua SimonTE · WASvsSEABENCHWAS expected to score only ~16, a tough spot4.2
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~16 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS underdogs by 8.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- SEA vs TEs
- 12% more points
- Wind
- 13 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #42 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- WAS's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: SEA's defense has allowed 12% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
43Gunnar HelmTE · TEN@NYGBENCHTEN expected to score only ~18, a tough spot3.4
scored · proj 4.1BENCHRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~18 pts
- Vegas line
- TEN underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 37.5
- NYG vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
- Last game snaps
- 87%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #43 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- TEN's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
44Chris MyarickTE · LV@NOBENCHProjected 4.1 · #44 among TEs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NO vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #44 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
45Patrick GurdTE · LV@NOBENCHProjected 4.1 · #45 among TEs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NO vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #45 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
46Jack VellingTE · ATL@GBBENCHATL expected to score only ~20, a tough spot4.0
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 4.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- GB vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.0 points, #46 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- ATL's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
Projection 4.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
47Kenny Fletcher Jr.TE · INDvsHOUBENCHProjected 4.0 · #47 among TEs4.0
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- IND underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- HOU vs TEs
- 9% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.0 points, #47 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 4.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
48Joel WilsonTE · TEN@NYGBENCHTEN expected to score only ~18, a tough spot3.9
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~18 pts
- Vegas line
- TEN underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 37.5
- NYG vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.9 points, #48 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- TEN's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
Projection 3.9 · Low confidence · Full player page →
49Tre WatsonTE · MIAvsKCBENCHMIA expected to score only ~18, a tough spot3.9
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~18 pts
- Vegas line
- MIA underdogs by 10
- Game total
- 45.5
- KC vs TEs
- 9% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.9 points, #49 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
Projection 3.9 · Low confidence · Full player page →
50Evan SvobodaTE · LAC@BUFBENCHBUF allow 30% fewer points to TEs3.8
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 7
- Game total
- 50.5
- BUF vs TEs
- 30% fewer points
- Wind
- 12 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.8 points, #50 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- BUF's defense has allowed 30% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →
How we rank
Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.
We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.
The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.