58.1

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Jaylin Noel playing this week?

No injury designation

Jaylin Noel has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Dallas Cowboys.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:46 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

This player isn't in the week 4 fantasy rankings. We rank players who have a game this week and a meaningful projection, so backups and inactive players usually don't appear.

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

24

Height

5'11"

Weight

200 lb

College

Iowa State

Experience

1 season

Draft

2025 · Pick #79 (HOU)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 58.1?

Noel's grade of 57.8 comes from strong per-play value on limited work, but only 9 targets in one graded game means a couple of plays swing things heavily. His efficiency stood out even though he barely factored into Houston's passing plan.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per target of +0.428 was well above average, 36th of 89 WRs
  • 35-yard catch-and-run vs BUF in Q2 gained +2.4 expected points
  • 31-yard grab vs CIN in Q4 added +1.9 expected points

Holding it back

  • Three incomplete targets vs CIN cost expected points, including a -0.9 play in Q3

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.458

Success rate

44%

WPA (sum)

0.17

Opponent adj.

-0.031

Plays graded

9

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 2 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
4.0
Cushion
7.6
YAC above exp
+0.9
YAC / rec
5.9
Expected YAC
5.1
Air yards share
8.1%
Intended air yds
9.4
Catch %
55.6%
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

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TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games95101017.28639%27%58.1

Game log

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GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 2 · CIN513105.44860%41%28.0