54.0

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Practice report

Limited in practice — shoulder injury

Practice: NFL official injury report, week 4 (via nflverse)

Is DJ Moore playing this week?

Limited in practice

No game-day designation has been issued yet. On the official practice report for week 4: Limited in practice, shoulder injury.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:33 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

From the beat

What reporters are saying about him, last 3 days.

  • DJ Moore (shoulder), Keon Coleman (ankle) not listed on injury report for Week 4.

    Underdog NFL @UnderdogNFL · 1d ago · View on X

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
FLEX#29 WR this weekHigh confidence

Flex option. BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.

Why we say flex

  • Projected 7.4 points, #29 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
  • BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
  • Averaging 6 targets a game.
  • Played 64% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

7.4

Likely range 3–13: the middle half of outcomes

vs NE · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
64%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

29

Height

6'0"

Weight

215 lb

College

Maryland

Experience

8 seasons

Draft

2018 · Pick #24 (CAR)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 54.0?

A middle-of-the-pack grade, since none of his measured numbers stood clearly above or below the average receiver. The sample is small, just 18 targets over 2 games, so a few plays swing it a lot. His games split sharply, 79.9 in week 1 and 32.1 in week 3.

Lifting the grade

  • Week 1 vs HOU: a 43-yard deep-right touchdown from Allen, worth +4.2 expected points.
  • Week 3 vs LAC: a 16-yard catch on 3rd and 10 in the fourth quarter, worth +2.8 expected points.

Holding it back

  • Week 3 vs LAC: a first-quarter interception on a pass intended for him on 1st and 20, costing 4.6 expected points.
  • Week 3 vs LAC: an incomplete pass on 3rd and 6 in the fourth quarter, costing 1.7 expected points.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.274

Success rate

56%

WPA (sum)

0.13

Opponent adj.

-0.013

Plays graded

18

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
2.9
Cushion
7.1
YAC above exp
+1.3
YAC / rec
5.0
Expected YAC
3.7
Air yards share
34.8%
Intended air yds
15.8
Catch %
61.1%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
12.89.0+3.7
33.05.5-0.8
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games1811167133.610957%0%54.0

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · LAC10667012.74264%0%32.1
Wk 1 · HOU85100121.04476%0%79.9