97.9

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Travis Kelce playing this week?

No injury designation

Travis Kelce has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the Las Vegas Raiders.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:37 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
MUST START#5 TE this weekHigh confidence

Must start. Scored 12.9 points last game against a typical 8.2 (trending up).

Why we say must start

  • Projected 10.4 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
  • Scored 12.9 points last game against a typical 8.2 (trending up).
  • KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
  • Averaging 6 targets a game.
  • Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

10.4

Likely range 4–18: the middle half of outcomes

@ LV · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 8.2 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs TEs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
79%

All week 4 tight end rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

36

Height

6'5"

Weight

250 lb

College

Cincinnati

Experience

13 seasons

Draft

2013 · Pick #63 (KC)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 97.9?

Kelce's grade is driven by how much expected points he creates per target, the best among the 24 qualifying tight ends. Several big gains did most of the work. It's a small sample, so a couple of plays can move the grade a lot.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per target of +0.900 expected points, 1st of 24, lifted the grade a lot.
  • Week 1 vs DEN, 3rd and 6: a 59-yard catch from Mahomes worth +5.1 expected points.
  • Week 3 vs MIA: a 48-yard catch on 1st and 10 (+3.4) and an 11-yard touchdown on 3rd and 6 (+3.1).

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.922

Success rate

72%

WPA (sum)

0.36

Opponent adj.

-0.021

Plays graded

18

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 2 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
3.4
Cushion
5.7
YAC above exp
+4.1
YAC / rec
11.1
Expected YAC
7.0
Air yards share
22.3%
Intended air yds
6.6
Catch %
77.8%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
12.86.4+10.3
23.26.4+1.8
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games1814231249.115878%0%97.9

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 2 · IND119101125.16885%0%47.5
Wk 1 · DEN5371010.14971%0%81.3