Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Ja'Marr Chase or Roman Wilson?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.9 vs 10.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Ja'Marr Chase (51%).
Ja'Marr Chase outscores Roman Wilson 51% of the time; Roman Wilson 49%.
WR, CIN at MIA · Questionable — concussion
10.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–19 · WR18 this week · Start
Start if active. Questionable — concussion.
WR, PIT vs IND
10.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · WR20 this week · Start
Start. Scored 16.4 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
Side by side
| Ja'Marr Chase | Roman Wilson | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.9 | Projected points | 10.6 |
| 4.4 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.2 |
| 18.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 18.2 |
| MIA -13% | Matchup | IND +14% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Questionable — concussion | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| Low | Our confidence | High |
Ja'Marr Chase: Questionable — concussion. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.