Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Roman Wilson or Zay Flowers?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.6 vs 10.1). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Roman Wilson (51%).
Roman Wilson outscores Zay Flowers 51% of the time; Zay Flowers 49%.
WR, PIT vs IND
10.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · WR20 this week · Start
Start. Scored 16.4 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
WR, BAL at ATL · Questionable — foot injury
10.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–17 · WR21 this week · Start
Start if active. Questionable — foot injury.
Side by side
| Roman Wilson | Zay Flowers | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.6 | Projected points | 10.1 |
| 4.2 | Floor (a bad day) | 0.0 |
| 18.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 17.4 |
| IND +14% | Matchup | ATL +12% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~20 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Questionable — foot injury |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | Low |
Zay Flowers: Questionable — foot injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.