Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Luther Burden III or Roman Wilson?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.6 vs 10.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Luther Burden III (50%).
Luther Burden III outscores Roman Wilson 50% of the time; Roman Wilson 50%.
WR, CHI at GB
10.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · WR19 this week · Start
Start. Projected 10.6 points, #19 among WRs this week.
WR, PIT vs IND
10.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · WR20 this week · Start
Start. Scored 16.4 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
Side by side
| Luther Burden III | Roman Wilson | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.6 | Projected points | 10.6 |
| 4.2 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.2 |
| 18.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 18.2 |
| GB +1% | Matchup | IND +14% |
| ~24 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.