Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Jaylen Waddle or Roman Wilson?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (9.9 vs 10.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Roman Wilson (52%).
Jaylen Waddle outscores Roman Wilson 48% of the time; Roman Wilson 52%.
WR, DEN at LAC
9.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–17 · WR22 this week · Start
Start. Projected 9.9 points, #22 among WRs this week.
WR, PIT vs IND
10.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · WR20 this week · Start
Start. Scored 16.4 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
Side by side
| Jaylen Waddle | Roman Wilson | |
|---|---|---|
| 9.9 | Projected points | 10.6 |
| 4.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.2 |
| 17.0 | Ceiling (a big day) | 18.2 |
| LAC -6% | Matchup | IND +14% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.