Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Ja'Marr Chase or Luther Burden III?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.9 vs 10.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Ja'Marr Chase (51%).
Ja'Marr Chase outscores Luther Burden III 51% of the time; Luther Burden III 49%.
WR, CIN at MIA · Questionable — concussion
10.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–19 · WR18 this week · Start
Start if active. Questionable — concussion.
WR, CHI at GB
10.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · WR19 this week · Start
Start. Projected 10.6 points, #19 among WRs this week.
Side by side
| Ja'Marr Chase | Luther Burden III | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.9 | Projected points | 10.6 |
| 4.4 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.2 |
| 18.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 18.2 |
| MIA -13% | Matchup | GB +1% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~24 pts |
| Questionable — concussion | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Steady |
| Low | Our confidence | High |
Ja'Marr Chase: Questionable — concussion. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.