Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Ja'Marr Chase or Jameson Williams?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.9 vs 11.0). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Jameson Williams (50%).
Ja'Marr Chase outscores Jameson Williams 50% of the time; Jameson Williams 50%.
WR, CIN at MIA · Questionable — concussion
10.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–19 · WR18 this week · Start
Start if active. Questionable — concussion.
WR, DET at ARI
11.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–19 · WR16 this week · Start
Start. DET's offense is expected to score about 30 points, a strong scoring spot.
Side by side
| Ja'Marr Chase | Jameson Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.9 | Projected points | 11.0 |
| 4.4 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.4 |
| 18.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 18.9 |
| MIA -13% | Matchup | ARI +5% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~30 pts |
| Questionable — concussion | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| Low | Our confidence | High |
Ja'Marr Chase: Questionable — concussion. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.