13.0

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Braelon Allen playing this week?

No injury designation

Braelon Allen has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the Chicago Bears.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:37 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

Injury ripple · Week 4

Mitchell Out: Garrett Wilson Could See More Work, Allen and Williams Dip

↓ Down · Fewer carries and PPR points in games without Mitchell.

Read the full note →

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
BENCH#35 RB this weekHigh confidence

Bench. Projected 5.2 points, 0.2 behind #32, the last one we'd start.

Why we say bench

  • Projected 5.2 points, #35 among RBs this week, 0.2 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
  • Upside: Breece Hall out: more work to go around (about +1.9 points).
  • Averaging 6.3 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
  • Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

5.2

Likely range 3–8: the middle half of outcomes

@ CHI · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 2.2 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYJ underdogs by 3.5
Game total
43.5
CHI vs RBs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
52%

All week 4 running back rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

22

Height

6'1"

Weight

235 lb

College

Wisconsin

Experience

2 seasons

Draft

2024 · Pick #134 (NYJ)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 13.0?

Allen's grade is low mainly because his touches have cost the Jets expected points, ranking 43rd of 51 backs. That is a small sample of 24 touches over 3 games. His game grades dropped from 46.4 in week 1 to 13.6 and then 9.7.

Holding it back

  • EPA per touch was -0.273 expected points per play, 43rd of 51 backs, even after a small credit for facing easier defenses.
  • Week 2 vs GB, 4th and 1 in the fourth quarter: right guard for no gain, costing 2.9 expected points.
  • Week 3 at DET, 3rd and 2 in the fourth quarter: a short pass to Allen lost 4 yards, costing 1.7 expected points.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

-0.206

Success rate

37%

WPA (sum)

-0.29

Opponent adj.

-0.031

Plays graded

24

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 1 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Rush yds over expected
+3.8
Yds over exp / att
+0.20
Carries over expected
0.5%
Expected rush yds
57.2
Efficiency
4.44
Vs 8+ in the box
26.3%
Time to line
2.58s
What do these mean?
Rush yds over expected:
Rushing yards above what the blocking and defenders in each carry would be expected to produce.
Yds over exp / att:
Rush yards over expected per carry.
Carries over expected:
Share of carries that gained more than expected.
Expected rush yds:
Yards the carries would be expected to gain on average, based on tracking data.
Efficiency:
Distance traveled per yard gained. Lower means a more direct, north-south runner.
Vs 8+ in the box:
Share of carries against eight or more defenders near the line.
Time to line:
Average seconds from the handoff to reaching the line of scrimmage.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

CarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games196114110017.28441%14%13.0

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · DET414033004.73452%26%10.4
Wk 2 · GB57118008.52331%17%12.3
Wk 1 · TEN1040000004.02740%0%48.2