Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Braelon Allen or Rico Dowdle?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.8 vs 8.0). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Rico Dowdle (51%).
Braelon Allen outscores Rico Dowdle 49% of the time; Rico Dowdle 51%.
RB, NYJ at NE
7.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–13 · RB28 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 18.6 points last game against a typical 2.6 (trending up).
RB, PIT at TB
8.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–13 · RB27 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 8.0 points, #27 among RBs this week.
Side by side
| Braelon Allen | Rico Dowdle | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.8 | Projected points | 8.0 |
| 3.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.8 |
| 12.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 13.0 |
| NE -9% | Matchup | TB -8% |
| ~18 pts | Team's expected score | ~20 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.