Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Blake Corum or Braelon Allen?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (5.2 vs 5.0). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Blake Corum (51%).
Blake Corum outscores Braelon Allen 51% of the time; Braelon Allen 49%.
RB, LA vs BUF
5.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–8 · RB39 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 5.2 points, 1.2 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
RB, NYJ vs CLE
5.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–8 · RB40 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 5.0 points, 1.4 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| Blake Corum | Braelon Allen | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.2 | Projected points | 5.0 |
| 2.5 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.4 |
| 8.4 | Ceiling (a big day) | 8.1 |
| BUF +13% | Matchup | CLE -8% |
| ~29 pts | Team's expected score | ~21 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.