Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Blake Corum or Rico Dowdle?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (5.2 vs 5.5). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Rico Dowdle (52%).
Blake Corum outscores Rico Dowdle 48% of the time; Rico Dowdle 52%.
RB, LA vs BUF
5.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–8 · RB39 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 5.2 points, 1.2 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
RB, PIT vs IND · Questionable — toe injury
5.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–9 · RB37 this week · Bench
Bench. Questionable — toe injury.
Side by side
| Blake Corum | Rico Dowdle | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.2 | Projected points | 5.5 |
| 2.5 | Floor (a bad day) | 0.0 |
| 8.4 | Ceiling (a big day) | 8.9 |
| BUF +13% | Matchup | IND -2% |
| ~29 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Questionable — toe injury |
| Steady | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | Low |
Rico Dowdle: Questionable — toe injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.