Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Alvin Kamara or Rico Dowdle?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (5.5 vs 5.5). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Alvin Kamara (50%).
Alvin Kamara outscores Rico Dowdle 50% of the time; Rico Dowdle 50%.
RB, NO vs MIN · Questionable — back injury
5.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–9 · RB38 this week · Bench
Bench. Questionable — back injury.
RB, PIT vs IND · Questionable — toe injury
5.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–9 · RB37 this week · Bench
Bench. Questionable — toe injury.
Side by side
| Alvin Kamara | Rico Dowdle | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | Projected points | 5.5 |
| 0.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 0.0 |
| 8.9 | Ceiling (a big day) | 8.9 |
| MIN -18% | Matchup | IND -2% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Questionable — back injury | Health | Questionable — toe injury |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| Low | Our confidence | Low |
Alvin Kamara: Questionable — back injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Rico Dowdle: Questionable — toe injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.