Fantasy · Week 4 · 2026

Win your week. Start the right players.

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

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Early season: only 3 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

Kickers are the most random position in fantasy: one missed kick or one stalled drive swings a week, so the gaps between them are small. Don't spend a real pick here. Take the best kicker on your league's free list each week. Scoring is the same in every format, so the scoring switch above doesn't change these.

  1. 1INDSpencer Shrader▲K · IND@WASWASMUST STARTScored 17 last game, typical 9.911.78–15 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    INDIND@WASWASWASGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~26 pts
    Vegas line
    IND favored by 4.5
    Game total
    46.5

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 11.7 points, #1 among kickers this week, inside the top 4 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 17 points last game against a typical 9.9 (trending up).
    • IND's offense is expected to score about 26 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 12.3 points a game, making 100% of field goals (3 from 50+).

    Projection 11.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  2. 2MINWill Reichard▲K · MINvsMIAMIAMUST STARTScored 16 last game, typical 9.510.67–14 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    MINMINvsMIAMIAMIAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 10
    Game total
    38.5

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 10.6 points, #2 among kickers this week, inside the top 4 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 16 points last game against a typical 9.5 (trending up).
    • Averaging 11 points a game, making 100% of field goals (2 from 50+).

    Projection 10.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  3. 3DALBrandon AubreyK · DAL@HOUHOUMUST STARTProjected 10.5 · #3 among kickers10.57–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    DALDAL@HOUHOUHOUGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL underdogs by 3
    Game total
    48.5
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 10.5 points, #3 among kickers this week, inside the top 4 we call must-starts.
    • Averaging 9.3 points a game, making 100% of field goals.

    Projection 10.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  4. 4HOUKa'imi Fairbairn▼K · HOUvsDALDALMUST STARTHOU expected to score ~26, plenty of drives10.47–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 11.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    HOUHOUvsDALDALDALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~26 pts
    Vegas line
    HOU favored by 3
    Game total
    48.5
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 10.4 points, #4 among kickers this week, inside the top 4 we call must-starts.
    • HOU's offense is expected to score about 26 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Concern: Scored 5 points last game against a typical 11.8 (trending down).
    • Averaging 6.7 points a game, making 80% of field goals.

    Projection 10.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  5. 5CINEvan McPhersonK · CINvsJAXJAXSTARTCIN expected to score ~27, plenty of drives10.37–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    CINCINvsJAXJAXJAXGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~27 pts
    Vegas line
    CIN favored by 2.5
    Game total
    51.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 10.3 points, #5 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 14 points a game, making 100% of field goals (5 from 50+).

    Projection 10.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  6. 6SEAJason MyersK · SEAvsLACLACSTARTProjected 10.2 · #6 among kickers10.27–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    SEASEAvsLACLACLACGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    SEA favored by 7
    Game total
    42.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 10.2 points, #6 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Averaging 7.7 points a game.

    Projection 10.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  7. 7TBChase McLaughlinK · TBvsGBGBSTARTProjected 9.6 · #7 among kickers9.66–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    TBTBvsGBGBGBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~18 pts
    Vegas line
    TB underdogs by 3
    Game total
    38.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.6 points, #7 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: TB's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, fewer kicking chances.
    • Averaging 13 points a game, making 100% of field goals (3 from 50+).

    Projection 9.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  8. 8BALTyler LoopK · BALvsTENTENSTARTBAL expected to score ~27, plenty of drives9.46–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    BALBALvsTENTENTENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~27 pts
    Vegas line
    BAL favored by 11.5
    Game total
    42.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.4 points, #8 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 10.7 points a game, making 100% of field goals (2 from 50+).

    Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  9. 9KCHarrison ButkerK · KC@LVLVSTARTKC expected to score ~26, plenty of drives9.36–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    KCKC@LVLVLVGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~26 pts
    Vegas line
    KC favored by 4.5
    Game total
    47.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.3 points, #9 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 9.3 points a game, making 75% of field goals.

    Projection 9.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  10. 10CHICairo SantosK · CHIvsNYJNYJSTARTProjected 8.9 · #10 among kickers8.95–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    CHICHIvsNYJNYJNYJGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    CHI favored by 3.5
    Game total
    43.5
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.9 points, #10 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Averaging 9 points a game.

    Projection 8.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

  11. 11SFEddy PineiroK · SFvsDENDENSTARTSF expected to score ~25, plenty of drives8.85–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    SFSFvsDENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    SF favored by 3
    Game total
    47.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.8 points, #11 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 7 points a game (2 from 50+).

    Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  12. 12DETJake BatesK · DET@CARCARSTARTDET expected to score ~27, plenty of drives8.65–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    DETDET@CARCARCARGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~27 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 3.5
    Game total
    50.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.6 points, #12 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 7 points a game.

    Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  13. 13JAXCam Little▼K · JAX@CINCINBENCHScored 4 last game, typical 9.28.65–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 9.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    JAXJAX@CINCINCINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    JAX underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    51.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.6 points, #13 among kickers this week, 0.0 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Scored 4 points last game against a typical 9.2 (trending down).
    • Averaging 7.7 points a game, making 67% of field goals.

    Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  14. 14LAHarrison Mevis▲K · LA@PHIPHIBENCHProjected 8.5 · 0.1 behind #128.55–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    LALA@PHIPHIPHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    LA favored by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.5 points, #14 among kickers this week, 0.1 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: Scored 16 points last game against a typical 8.8 (trending up).
    • Averaging 6.7 points a game, making 80% of field goals.

    Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  15. 15PITChris Boswell▲K · PIT@CLECLEBENCHProjected 8.3 · 0.3 behind #123.0scored · proj 8.3

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    PITPIT@CLECLECLEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    PIT favored by 2.5
    Game total
    38.5
    Wind
    11 mph

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.3 points, #15 among kickers this week, 0.3 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: Scored 13 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending up).
    • Averaging 8.3 points a game, making 75% of field goals.

    Projection 8.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  16. 16ARIChad Ryland▲K · ARI@NYGNYGBENCHProjected 8.1 · 0.5 behind #128.15–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    ARIARI@NYGNYGNYGGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    ARI favored by 2.5
    Game total
    44.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.1 points, #16 among kickers this week, 0.5 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: Scored 14 points last game against a typical 7.4 (trending up).
    • Averaging 10 points a game, making 88% of field goals.

    Projection 8.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  17. 17LVMatt Gay▲K · LVvsKCKCBENCHProjected 8.1 · 0.5 behind #128.15–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    LVLVvsKCKCKCGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    LV underdogs by 4.5
    Game total
    47.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.1 points, #17 among kickers this week, 0.5 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: Scored 12 points last game against a typical 7.4 (trending up).
    • Averaging 10 points a game, making 100% of field goals.

    Projection 8.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  18. 18CARRyan Fitzgerald▲K · CARvsDETDETBENCHProjected 7.9 · 0.7 behind #127.94–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    CARCARvsDETDETDETGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    CAR underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    50.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.9 points, #18 among kickers this week, 0.7 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: Scored 15 points last game against a typical 6.5 (trending up).
    • Averaging 11 points a game, making 100% of field goals.

    Projection 7.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

  19. 19BUFTyler BassK · BUFvsNENEBENCHProjected 7.8 · 0.8 behind #127.84–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    BUFBUFvsNENENEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    BUF favored by 7
    Game total
    49.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.8 points, #19 among kickers this week, 0.8 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 7.7 points a game.

    Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  20. 20NEAndy BorregalesK · NE@BUFBUFBENCHProjected 7.7 · 0.9 behind #127.74–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    NENE@BUFBUFBUFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NE underdogs by 7
    Game total
    49.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.7 points, #20 among kickers this week, 0.9 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Averaging 6.7 points a game, making 71% of field goals.

    Projection 7.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  21. 21NYGDominic Zvada▲K · NYGvsARIARIBENCHProjected 7.7 · #21 among kickers7.74–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYGNYGvsARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYG underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    44.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.7 points, #21 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Upside: Scored 12 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending up).
    • Averaging 8 points a game, making 100% of field goals.

    Projection 7.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  22. 22WASDrew StevensK · WASvsINDINDBENCHProjected 7.6 · #22 among kickers7.64–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    WASWASvsINDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    WAS underdogs by 4.5
    Game total
    46.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.6 points, #22 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Averaging 7.7 points a game, making 71% of field goals (2 from 50+).

    Projection 7.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  23. 23ATLNick FolkK · ATL@NONOBENCHProjected 7.6 · #23 among kickers7.64–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    ATLATL@NONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    ATL underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    47.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.6 points, #23 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Averaging 7 points a game, making 63% of field goals.

    Projection 7.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  24. 24NODaniel CarlsonK · NOvsATLATLBENCHProjected 7.4 · #24 among kickers7.44–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    NONOvsATLATLATLGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    NO favored by 2.5
    Game total
    47.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.4 points, #24 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Upside: NO's offense is expected to score about 25 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 7 points a game, making 80% of field goals.

    Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  25. 25CLEAndre SzmytK · CLEvsPITPITBENCHCLE expected to score only ~18, fewer chances12.0scored · proj 7.4

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    CLECLEvsPITPITPITGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~18 pts
    Vegas line
    CLE underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    38.5
    Wind
    11 mph

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.4 points, #25 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, fewer kicking chances.
    • Averaging 8.7 points a game, making 100% of field goals.

    Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  26. 26LACCameron DickerK · LAC@SEASEABENCHLAC expected to score only ~18, fewer chances7.24–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    LACLAC@SEASEASEAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~18 pts
    Vegas line
    LAC underdogs by 7
    Game total
    42.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.2 points, #26 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • LAC's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, fewer kicking chances.
    • Averaging 4 points a game, making 60% of field goals.

    Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  27. 27NYJJason SandersK · NYJ@CHICHIBENCHProjected 7.0 · #27 among kickers7.03–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYJNYJ@CHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    NYJ underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    43.5
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.0 points, #27 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Averaging 8 points a game, making 83% of field goals (2 from 50+).

    Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  28. 28GBTrey Smack▼K · GB@TBTBBENCHScored 2 last game, typical 7.56.93–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    GBGB@TBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    GB favored by 3
    Game total
    38.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 6.9 points, #28 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Scored 2 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending down).
    • Averaging 7.3 points a game, making 100% of field goals.

    Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

  29. 29DENWil Lutz▼K · DEN@SFSFBENCHScored 1 last game, typical 7.86.83–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    DENDEN@SFSFSFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    DEN underdogs by 3
    Game total
    47.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 6.8 points, #29 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Scored 1 points last game against a typical 7.8 (trending down).
    • Averaging 4.7 points a game.

    Projection 6.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  30. 30MIARiley Patterson▼K · MIA@MINMINBENCHScored 4 last game, typical 8.16.53–9 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    MIAMIA@MINMINMINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~14 pts
    Vegas line
    MIA underdogs by 10
    Game total
    38.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 6.5 points, #30 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Scored 4 points last game against a typical 8.1 (trending down).
    • MIA's offense is expected to score only about 14 points, fewer kicking chances.
    • Averaging 5.7 points a game, making 71% of field goals.

    Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  31. 31TENJoey Slye▼K · TEN@BALBALBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 8.16.13–9 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    TENTEN@BALBALBALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~16 pts
    Vegas line
    TEN underdogs by 11.5
    Game total
    42.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 6.1 points, #31 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Scored 0 points last game against a typical 8.1 (trending down).
    • TEN's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, fewer kicking chances.
    • Averaging 4.3 points a game.

    Projection 6.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  32. 32PHIJake Elliott▼K · PHIvsLALABENCHScored 1 last game, typical 6.75.82–9 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.7 a game

    This week's matchup

    PHIPHIvsLALALAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    PHI underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 5.8 points, #32 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Scored 1 points last game against a typical 6.7 (trending down).
    • PHI's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, fewer kicking chances.
    • Averaging 5 points a game.

    Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.