Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Dalton Kincaid or Jake Ferguson?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.8 vs 7.3). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Dalton Kincaid (52%).
Dalton Kincaid outscores Jake Ferguson 52% of the time; Jake Ferguson 48%.
TE, BUF at LV
7.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · TE14 this week · Flex
Flex option. BUF's offense is expected to score about 30 points, a strong scoring spot.
TE, DAL at GB
7.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–13 · TE16 this week · Flex
Flex option. DAL's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
Side by side
| Dalton Kincaid | Jake Ferguson | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.8 | Projected points | 7.3 |
| 2.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.6 |
| 13.8 | Ceiling (a big day) | 12.9 |
| LV 0% | Matchup | GB -17% |
| ~30 pts | Team's expected score | ~26 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.