Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Dalton Kincaid or Mark Andrews?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.5 vs 7.2). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Dalton Kincaid (51%).
Dalton Kincaid outscores Mark Andrews 51% of the time; Mark Andrews 49%.
TE, BUF at LA
7.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–13 · TE16 this week · Flex
Flex option. BUF's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
TE, BAL at ATL
7.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–13 · TE18 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 7.2 points, 0.3 behind #16, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| Dalton Kincaid | Mark Andrews | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Projected points | 7.2 |
| 2.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.6 |
| 13.3 | Ceiling (a big day) | 12.7 |
| LA -18% | Matchup | ATL -9% |
| ~26 pts | Team's expected score | ~21 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Mark Andrews's game is over.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.