61.0

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Jonathan Taylor playing this week?

No injury designation

Official practice report (week 4): Full practice, rest day.

Jonathan Taylor has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the Washington Commanders.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:48 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
MUST START#3 RB this weekHigh confidence

Must start. IND's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.

Why we say must start

  • Projected 19.9 points, #3 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
  • IND's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
  • Concern: Scored 8.2 points last game against a typical 17.9 (trending down).
  • Averaging 22 carries and 3.7 targets a game.
  • Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

19.9

Likely range 10–32: the middle half of outcomes

@ WAS · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 17.9 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs RBs
3% more points
Last game snaps
85%

All week 4 running back rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

27

Height

5'10"

Weight

226 lb

College

Wisconsin

Experience

6 seasons

Draft

2020 · Pick #41 (IND)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 61.0?

Taylor's grade sits a bit above the middle because his plays added slightly more expected points than most backs, even against tougher-than-average defenses. His other measures were close to average. His grade swung widely from game to game, from 87.7 at KC to 33.0 vs HOU.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per touch of +0.008 ranks 13th of 50 RBs, helped by credit for facing tougher defenses.
  • Week 2 vs KC: a 24-yard touchdown run to the right end was worth +3.3 expected points.
  • Short-yardage conversions on 4th and 1 vs KC in week 2 (+2.4) and vs HOU in week 3 (+2.3).

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.030

Success rate

41%

WPA (sum)

-0.45

Opponent adj.

0.033

Plays graded

77

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Rush yds over expected
-28.8
Yds over exp / att
-0.44
Carries over expected
0.3%
Expected rush yds
275.8
Efficiency
4.20
Vs 8+ in the box
19.7%
Time to line
2.69s
WeekRush yds over expectedYds over exp / attVs 8+ in the box
1+10.4+0.5521.1%
2+0.1+0.0016.7%
3-39.3-1.7921.7%
What do these mean?
Rush yds over expected:
Rushing yards above what the blocking and defenders in each carry would be expected to produce.
Yds over exp / att:
Rush yards over expected per carry.
Carries over expected:
Share of carries that gained more than expected.
Expected rush yds:
Yards the carries would be expected to gain on average, based on tracking data.
Efficiency:
Distance traveled per yard gained. Lower means a more direct, north-south runner.
Vs 8+ in the box:
Share of carries against eight or more defenders near the line.
Time to line:
Average seconds from the handoff to reaching the line of scrimmage.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

CarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games6625849670063.516989%0%61.0

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · HOU2368024009.26085%0%33.0
Wk 2 · KC249224400029.26194%0%87.7
Wk 1 · BAL199823230025.14889%0%41.2