NHL · 2026-27
NHL rankings
Every player ranked by projected DraftKings points, from our own projection model, with floor, ceiling and the StatGrades grade beside him.
Projected DraftKings points per game for the rest of the season, without the matchup; goalies times their share of starts. Updated Saturday, October 3.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Proj/G | Floor | Ceiling | Std dev | vs last wk | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Evan Bouchard | D1 | 16.4 | 5.8 | 29.4 | 9.6 | ▲13 | 99.6 |
| 6 | Zach Werenski | D2 | 15.8 | 5.8 | 28.8 | 8.8 | ▲4 | 97.8 |
| 22 | Quinn Hughes | D3 | 12.7 | 4.1 | 23.3 | 7.5 | ▲9 | 96.1 |
| 23 | Jackson LaCombe | D4 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 22.4 | 6.4 | ▲74 | 94.3 |
| 32 | Rasmus Dahlin | D5 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 20.8 | 8.3 | ▲28 | 97.4 |
| 40 | Matthew Schaefer | D6 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 20.5 | 7.2 | ▲31 | 95.6 |
| 43 | Jake Sanderson | D7 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 20.0 | 7.8 | ▲8 | 94.7 |
| 51 | Moritz Seider | D8 | 11.1 | 4.1 | 20.1 | 7.4 | ▼13 | 99.1 |
| 52 | Darren Raddysh | D9 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 21.4 | 9.5 | ▼10 | 98.2 |
| 53 | John Carlson | D10 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 20.8 | 7.2 | ▲22 | 93.0 |
| 59 | Charlie McAvoy | D11 | 10.7 | 2.8 | 19.7 | 5.5 | ▲11 | 93.9 |
| 63 | Roman Josi | D12 | 10.6 | 3.0 | 19.9 | 6.9 | ▼20 | 89.9 |
| 71 | Filip Hronek | D13 | 10.4 | 2.6 | 19.1 | 5.4 | ▲122 | 80.3 |
| 75 | Tristan Luneau | D14 | 10.3 | 2.8 | 18.4 | – | ▲772 | – |
| 79 | Brandon Montour | D15 | 10.3 | 3.0 | 18.9 | 6.5 | ▲50 | 81.6 |
| 82 | Mikhail Sergachev | D16 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 19.3 | 7.3 | ▲10 | 91.2 |
| 85 | Brock Faber | D17 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 19.3 | 7.3 | ▲4 | 86.0 |
| 88 | Cale Makar | D18 | 10.2 | 2.6 | 18.4 | 8.7 | ▼68 | 100.0 |
| 103 | Josh Morrissey | D19 | 9.8 | 2.8 | 18.4 | 7.1 | ▲19 | 90.4 |
| 104 | Miro Heiskanen | D20 | 9.7 | 2.6 | 18.9 | 7.0 | ▼26 | 96.9 |
| 110 | Dougie Hamilton | D21 | 9.6 | 3.0 | 18.3 | 7.0 | ▲43 | 87.7 |
| 112 | Noah Dobson | D22 | 9.6 | 2.8 | 17.3 | 6.5 | ▼33 | 88.6 |
| 116 | Mike Matheson | D23 | 9.5 | 2.8 | 17.9 | 6.1 | ▲63 | 62.7 |
| 119 | Lane Hutson | D24 | 9.3 | 2.6 | 17.7 | 5.6 | ▼39 | 98.7 |
| 121 | Shea Theodore | D25 | 9.3 | 2.6 | 17.7 | 6.5 | ▲65 | 88.2 |
| 123 | Jakob Chychrun | D26 | 9.2 | 2.8 | 17.8 | 7.9 | ▼73 | 96.5 |
| 125 | Thomas Chabot | D27 | 9.2 | 2.6 | 16.9 | 5.6 | ▲9 | 82.9 |
| 132 | Luke Hughes | D28 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 17.0 | 5.6 | ▲71 | 83.3 |
| 134 | Vince Dunn | D29 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 17.5 | 6.2 | ▲46 | 86.4 |
| 137 | Brandt Clarke | D30 | 8.8 | 2.6 | 16.3 | 6.0 | ▼34 | 95.2 |
| 140 | Erik Karlsson | D31 | 8.7 | 1.5 | 16.8 | 8.5 | ▼42 | 93.4 |
| 141 | Shayne Gostisbehere | D32 | 8.7 | 2.6 | 16.4 | 7.5 | ▼34 | 92.5 |
| 145 | Denton Mateychuk | D33 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 16.8 | 5.0 | ▲273 | 66.2 |
| 156 | Adam Fox | D34 | 8.4 | 1.5 | 17.0 | 6.8 | ▼52 | 91.7 |
| 160 | Jacob Trouba | D35 | 8.2 | 2.6 | 15.6 | 6.5 | ▼9 | 75.9 |
| 162 | Alexandre Carrier | D36 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 14.7 | 5.5 | ▲170 | 60.1 |
| 163 | Connor Murphy | D37 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 13.6 | 4.7 | ▲314 | 46.1 |
| 164 | Simon Nemec | D38 | 8.1 | 1.5 | 14.9 | 6.9 | ▲119 | 53.5 |
| 166 | Travis Sanheim | D39 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 15.8 | 5.4 | ▲41 | 81.1 |
| 167 | Seth Jones | D40 | 8.1 | 1.5 | 15.8 | 7.4 | ▲28 | 84.2 |
| 169 | Ivan Provorov | D41 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 15.6 | 5.7 | ▲19 | 77.2 |
| 175 | Luca Cagnoni | D42 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 16.4 | – | ▲319 | – |
| 177 | Martin Fehérváry | D43 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 14.5 | 5.3 | ▲83 | 64.0 |
| 178 | MacKenzie Weegar | D44 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 14.9 | 6.0 | ▼43 | 76.3 |
| 181 | Owen Power | D45 | 7.9 | 1.5 | 15.6 | 4.5 | ▲170 | 57.0 |
| 196 | Marek Alscher | D46 | 7.7 | 1.5 | 16.0 | – | ▲24 | – |
| 199 | K'Andre Miller | D47 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 15.4 | 5.9 | ▲49 | 87.3 |
| 200 | Matt Roy | D48 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 14.5 | 4.9 | ▲125 | 59.2 |
| 201 | Morgan Rielly | D49 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 14.3 | 5.8 | ▲5 | 62.3 |
| 208 | Simon Edvinsson | D50 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 14.0 | 6.5 | ▲32 | 71.9 |
| 211 | Justin Faulk | D51 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 14.1 | 6.1 | ▼46 | 79.4 |
| 214 | Jamie Oleksiak | D52 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 13.4 | 4.8 | ▲382 | 31.6 |
| 215 | Jonas Brodin | D53 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 13.8 | 5.4 | ▲60 | 73.2 |
| 217 | Jake Livanavage | D54 | 7.3 | 1.5 | 13.6 | – | ▲33 | – |
| 218 | Victor Hedman | D55 | 7.3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | 5.4 | ▲29 | 65.4 |
| 219 | Rasmus Andersson | D56 | 7.3 | 1.5 | 13.8 | 7.5 | ▼124 | 90.8 |
| 221 | Brayden McNabb | D57 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 14.7 | 5.4 | ▲41 | 65.8 |
| 234 | Cam York | D58 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 12.9 | 5.7 | ▼8 | 78.9 |
| 242 | Rasmus Sandin | D59 | 7.1 | 1.5 | 14.7 | 6.7 | ▲32 | 68.9 |
| 244 | Darnell Nurse | D60 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 13.1 | 5.3 | ▼73 | 64.5 |
| 248 | Thomas Harley | D61 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 13.4 | 6.3 | ▼120 | 84.6 |
| 251 | Olli Maatta | D62 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 13.4 | 5.0 | ▲229 | 31.1 |
| 255 | Noah Hanifin | D63 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 13.2 | 5.7 | ▼70 | 78.1 |
| 258 | Rasmus Ristolainen | D64 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 12.9 | 4.7 | ▲58 | 57.9 |
| 260 | Pavel Mintyukov | D65 | 6.9 | 1.3 | 14.3 | 5.8 | ▲134 | 53.9 |
| 261 | Jared Spurgeon | D66 | 6.9 | 1.3 | 13.2 | 4.8 | ▲91 | 76.8 |
| 273 | Sean Walker | D67 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 13.4 | 5.2 | ▼101 | 89.5 |
| 274 | Kaedan Korczak | D68 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 13.3 | 3.7 | ▲429 | 44.3 |
| 275 | Kris Letang | D69 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 13.0 | 4.3 | ▲2 | 71.1 |
| 276 | Neal Pionk | D70 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 13.0 | 4.6 | ▲9 | 55.7 |
| 277 | Sean Durzi | D71 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 13.4 | 5.3 | ▼6 | 66.7 |
| 280 | Devon Toews | D72 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 14.3 | 4.5 | ▼8 | 85.5 |
| 285 | Damon Severson | D73 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 14.3 | 4.8 | ▲37 | 79.8 |
| 290 | Mattias Ekholm | D74 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 13.1 | 6.0 | ▼96 | 83.8 |
| 291 | Conor Timmins | D75 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 13.2 | 4.1 | ▲32 | 19.7 |
| 293 | Bowen Byram | D76 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 13.0 | 6.7 | ▼14 | 75.0 |
| 295 | Jaccob Slavin | D77 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 12.8 | 4.2 | ▲64 | 57.5 |
| 297 | Colton Parayko | D78 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 13.0 | 4.4 | ▼76 | 56.6 |
| 298 | Cole Hutson | D79 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 13.0 | 6.8 | ▲65 | – |
| 300 | Domenick Fensore | D80 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 12.8 | – | ▲30 | – |
| 307 | Dylan Samberg | D81 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 12.6 | 4.3 | ▲26 | 47.8 |
| 309 | Hampus Lindholm | D82 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 13.4 | 5.8 | ▼44 | 75.4 |
| 311 | Gustav Forsling | D83 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 13.0 | 4.1 | ▲46 | 54.8 |
| 315 | Michael Kesselring | D84 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 12.7 | 3.6 | ▲367 | 36.4 |
| 316 | Nolan Allan | D85 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 12.8 | – | ▼17 | – |
| 318 | Samuel Girard | D86 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 12.8 | 4.7 | ▲370 | 44.7 |
| 322 | Nikita Zadorov | D87 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 13.4 | 4.7 | ▲105 | 59.6 |
| 326 | Alexander Nikishin | D88 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 12.6 | 4.9 | ▲24 | 89.0 |
| 328 | John Klingberg | D89 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 13.0 | 5.7 | ▲25 | 49.1 |
| 330 | Drew Doughty | D90 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 12.8 | 4.5 | ▲101 | 72.4 |
| 332 | Sam Malinski | D91 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 12.7 | 6.1 | ▼97 | 92.1 |
| 333 | Artem Zub | D92 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 12.8 | 5.6 | ▲28 | 74.6 |
| 334 | Mason Lohrei | D93 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 13.0 | 4.7 | ▲141 | 69.7 |
| 337 | Mikey Anderson | D94 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 12.8 | 4.8 | ▲126 | 60.5 |
| 341 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | D95 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 12.6 | 4.0 | ▲319 | 41.7 |
| 350 | Ryan Shea | D96 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 12.8 | 5.5 | ▲108 | 70.2 |
| 352 | Jake Middleton | D97 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 11.9 | 4.3 | ▲167 | 48.7 |
| 355 | Adam Larsson | D98 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 12.6 | 5.2 | ▼86 | 35.1 |
| 356 | Vladislav Gavrikov | D99 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 11.9 | 5.4 | ▼38 | 64.9 |
| 357 | Marcus Pettersson | D100 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 11.3 | 5.1 | ▲128 | 0.0 |
Top 100 of 331. Show all
How these projections work
Each player's shots, goals (from the quality of his chances, not just his luck), assists, blocks and ice time are projected from this season and last, adjusted for the opponent's defense and home ice, then scored on DraftKings' rules, bonuses included. Goalies add their chance of winning, saves and goals against. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile of a thousand simulated games.
We tested this on three past seasons before showing it: it beat each player's own season average at predicting his DraftKings points, for skaters and for goalies, by more than chance. Projections are our own; we don't copy anyone's rankings.