Fantasy · Week 5 · 2026

Win your week. Start the right players.

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

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Kickers are the most random position in fantasy: one missed kick or one stalled drive swings a week, so the gaps between them are small. Don't spend a real pick here. Take the best kicker on your league's free list each week. Scoring is the same in every format, so the scoring switch above doesn't change these.

On bye: CAR, KC

  1. 1DALBrandon AubreyK · DALvsTBTBMUST STARTDAL expected to score ~29, plenty of drives11.48–14 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsTBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL favored by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 11.4 points, #1 among kickers this week, inside the top 4 we call must-starts.
    • DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 9.3 points a game, making 100% of field goals.

    Projection 11.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  2. 2INDSpencer Shrader▲K · IND@PITPITMUST STARTScored 17 last game, typical 9.911.07–14 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    INDIND@PITPITPITGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    IND underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    44.5

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 11.0 points, #2 among kickers this week, inside the top 4 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 17 points last game against a typical 9.9 (trending up).
    • Averaging 12.3 points a game, making 100% of field goals (3 from 50+).

    Projection 11.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  3. 3CINEvan McPhersonK · CIN@MIAMIAMUST STARTCIN expected to score ~28, plenty of drives10.47–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    CINCIN@MIAMIAMIAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    CIN favored by 8.5
    Game total
    46.5

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 10.4 points, #3 among kickers this week, inside the top 4 we call must-starts.
    • CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 14 points a game, making 100% of field goals (5 from 50+).

    Projection 10.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  4. 4MINWill Reichard▲K · MIN@NONOMUST STARTScored 16 last game, typical 9.510.47–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@NONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 2.5
    Game total
    44.5

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 10.4 points, #4 among kickers this week, inside the top 4 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 16 points last game against a typical 9.5 (trending up).
    • Averaging 11 points a game, making 100% of field goals (2 from 50+).

    Projection 10.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  5. 5SEAJason MyersK · SEAvsSFSFSTARTSEA expected to score ~25, plenty of drives10.37–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    SEASEAvsSFSFSFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    SEA favored by 3
    Game total
    47.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 10.3 points, #5 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • SEA's offense is expected to score about 25 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 7.7 points a game.

    Projection 10.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  6. 6HOUKa'imi Fairbairn▼K · HOU@TENTENSTARTProjected 10.0 · #6 among kickers10.06–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 11.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    HOUHOU@TENTENTENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    HOU favored by 6.5
    Game total
    39.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 10.0 points, #6 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: Scored 5 points last game against a typical 11.8 (trending down).
    • Averaging 6.7 points a game, making 80% of field goals.

    Projection 10.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  7. 7TBChase McLaughlinK · TB@DALDALSTARTProjected 9.8 · #7 among kickers9.86–13 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    TBTB@DALDALDALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    TB underdogs by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.8 points, #7 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, fewer kicking chances.
    • Averaging 13 points a game, making 100% of field goals (3 from 50+).

    Projection 9.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  8. 8BALTyler LoopK · BAL@ATLATLSTARTBAL expected to score ~28, plenty of drives9.56–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    BALBAL@ATLATLATLGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    BAL favored by 6
    Game total
    49.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.5 points, #8 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 10.7 points a game, making 100% of field goals (2 from 50+).

    Projection 9.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  9. 9LAHarrison Mevis▲K · LAvsBUFBUFSTARTLA expected to score ~28, plenty of drives9.16–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    LALAvsBUFBUFBUFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    LA favored by 2.5
    Game total
    52.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.1 points, #9 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Scored 16 points last game against a typical 8.8 (trending up).
    • Averaging 6.7 points a game, making 80% of field goals.

    Projection 9.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  10. 10DETJake BatesK · DET@ARIARISTARTDET expected to score ~29, plenty of drives8.85–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    DETDET@ARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 5.5
    Game total
    52.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.8 points, #10 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 7 points a game.

    Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  11. 11CHICairo SantosK · CHI@GBGBSTARTProjected 8.6 · #11 among kickers8.65–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    CHICHI@GBGBGBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    CHI underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.6 points, #11 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Averaging 9 points a game.

    Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  12. 12JAXCam Little▼K · JAXvsPHIPHISTARTProjected 8.5 · #12 among kickers8.55–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 9.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    JAXJAXvsPHIPHIPHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    JAX favored by 3
    Game total
    44.5

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.5 points, #12 among kickers this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: Scored 4 points last game against a typical 9.2 (trending down).
    • Averaging 7.7 points a game, making 67% of field goals.

    Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  13. 13SFEddy PineiroK · SF@SEASEABENCHProjected 8.4 · 0.1 behind #128.45–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    SFSF@SEASEASEAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    SF underdogs by 3
    Game total
    47.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.4 points, #13 among kickers this week, 0.1 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Averaging 7 points a game (2 from 50+).

    Projection 8.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  14. 14PITChris Boswell▼K · PITvsINDINDBENCHScored 3 last game, typical 8.68.25–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3W4

    Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    PITPITvsINDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    PIT favored by 1.5
    Game total
    44.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.2 points, #14 among kickers this week, 0.3 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Scored 3 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending down).
    • Averaging 7 points a game, making 70% of field goals.

    Projection 8.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  15. 15ARIChad Ryland▲K · ARIvsDETDETBENCHProjected 8.1 · 0.4 behind #128.15–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    ARIARIvsDETDETDETGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    ARI underdogs by 5.5
    Game total
    52.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.1 points, #15 among kickers this week, 0.4 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: Scored 14 points last game against a typical 7.4 (trending up).
    • Averaging 10 points a game, making 88% of field goals.

    Projection 8.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  16. 16NEAndy BorregalesK · NEvsLVLVBENCHProjected 8.0 · 0.5 behind #128.04–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    NENEvsLVLVLVGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    NE favored by 3.5
    Game total
    44.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.0 points, #16 among kickers this week, 0.5 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Averaging 6.7 points a game, making 71% of field goals.

    Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  17. 17LVMatt Gay▲K · LV@NENEBENCHProjected 8.0 · 0.5 behind #128.04–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    LVLV@NENENEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LV underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    44.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.0 points, #17 among kickers this week, 0.5 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: Scored 12 points last game against a typical 7.4 (trending up).
    • Averaging 10 points a game, making 100% of field goals.

    Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  18. 18CLEAndre Szmyt▲K · CLE@NYJNYJBENCHCLE expected to score only ~20, fewer chances7.84–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3W4

    Dashed line: the usual 7.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    CLECLE@NYJNYJNYJGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    CLE underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    40.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.8 points, #18 among kickers this week, 0.7 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, fewer kicking chances.
    • Upside: Scored 12 points last game against a typical 7.1 (trending up).
    • Averaging 9.5 points a game, making 100% of field goals (2 from 50+).

    Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  19. 19WASDrew StevensK · WASvsNYGNYGBENCHProjected 7.8 · 0.7 behind #127.84–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    WASWASvsNYGNYGNYGGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    WAS favored by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.8 points, #19 among kickers this week, 0.7 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Averaging 7.7 points a game, making 71% of field goals (2 from 50+).

    Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  20. 20NYGDominic Zvada▲K · NYG@WASWASBENCHProjected 7.7 · 0.8 behind #127.74–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYGNYG@WASWASWASGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYG underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.7 points, #20 among kickers this week, 0.8 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: Scored 12 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending up).
    • Averaging 8 points a game, making 100% of field goals.

    Projection 7.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  21. 21LACCameron DickerK · LACvsDENDENBENCHProjected 7.6 · #21 among kickers7.64–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    LACLACvsDENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LAC underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.6 points, #21 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Averaging 4 points a game, making 60% of field goals.

    Projection 7.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  22. 22BUFTyler BassK · BUF@LALABENCHProjected 7.5 · #22 among kickers7.54–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    BUFBUF@LALALAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    BUF underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    52.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.5 points, #22 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Upside: BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, plenty of drives to finish with kicks.
    • Averaging 7.7 points a game.

    Projection 7.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  23. 23ATLNick FolkK · ATLvsBALBALBENCHProjected 7.5 · #23 among kickers7.54–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    ATLATLvsBALBALBALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    ATL underdogs by 6
    Game total
    49.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.5 points, #23 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Averaging 7 points a game, making 63% of field goals.

    Projection 7.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  24. 24GBTrey Smack▼K · GBvsCHICHIBENCHScored 2 last game, typical 7.57.34–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    GBGBvsCHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    GB favored by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.3 points, #24 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Scored 2 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending down).
    • Averaging 7.3 points a game, making 100% of field goals.

    Projection 7.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  25. 25NYJJason SandersK · NYJvsCLECLEBENCHProjected 7.1 · #25 among kickers7.14–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYJNYJvsCLECLECLEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYJ favored by 1.5
    Game total
    40.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 7.1 points, #25 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Averaging 8 points a game, making 83% of field goals (2 from 50+).

    Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  26. 26NODaniel CarlsonK · NOvsMINMINBENCHProjected 6.9 · #26 among kickers6.93–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    NONOvsMINMINMINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NO underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    44.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 6.9 points, #26 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Averaging 7 points a game, making 80% of field goals.

    Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

  27. 27DENWil Lutz▼K · DEN@LACLACBENCHScored 1 last game, typical 7.86.93–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    DENDEN@LACLACLACGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    DEN favored by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 6.9 points, #27 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Scored 1 points last game against a typical 7.8 (trending down).
    • Averaging 4.7 points a game.

    Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

  28. 28MIARiley Patterson▼K · MIAvsCINCINBENCHScored 4 last game, typical 8.16.83–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    MIAMIAvsCINCINCINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    MIA underdogs by 8.5
    Game total
    46.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 6.8 points, #28 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Scored 4 points last game against a typical 8.1 (trending down).
    • MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, fewer kicking chances.
    • Averaging 5.7 points a game, making 71% of field goals.

    Projection 6.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  29. 29TENJoey Slye▼K · TENvsHOUHOUBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 8.16.13–9 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    TENTENvsHOUHOUHOUGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~17 pts
    Vegas line
    TEN underdogs by 6.5
    Game total
    39.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 6.1 points, #29 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Scored 0 points last game against a typical 8.1 (trending down).
    • TEN's offense is expected to score only about 17 points, fewer kicking chances.
    • Averaging 4.3 points a game.

    Projection 6.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  30. 30PHIJake Elliott▼K · PHI@JAXJAXBENCHScored 1 last game, typical 6.75.92–9 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.7 a game

    This week's matchup

    PHIPHI@JAXJAXJAXGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    PHI underdogs by 3
    Game total
    44.5

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 5.9 points, #30 among kickers this week, outside the top 12.
    • Scored 1 points last game against a typical 6.7 (trending down).
    • Averaging 5 points a game.

    Projection 5.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.