89.6

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Practice report

Limited in practice — knee injury

Practice: NFL official injury report, week 4 (via nflverse)

Is Brock Bowers playing this week?

Limited in practice

No game-day designation has been issued yet. On the official practice report for week 4: Limited in practice, knee injury.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:48 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
MUST START#1 TE this weekHigh confidence

Must start. Scored 22.6 points last game against a typical 10.3 (trending up).

Why we say must start

  • Projected 12.0 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
  • Scored 22.6 points last game against a typical 10.3 (trending up).
  • Concern: KC's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
  • Averaging 13 targets a game.
  • Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

12.0

Likely range 4–21: the middle half of outcomes

vs KC · Game page →

Recent form

W3

Dashed line: the usual 10.3 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs TEs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
79%

All week 4 tight end rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

23

Height

6'3"

Weight

235 lb

College

Georgia

Experience

2 seasons

Draft

2024 · Pick #13 (LV)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 89.6?

The grade comes mostly from how much expected points Bowers produced per target, third best among 24 tight ends. It rests on just 13 targets in one game, a small sample, so a few plays can swing it a lot.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per target of +0.656 expected points per play, 3rd of 24 tight ends, lifted the grade a lot.
  • Week 3 vs NO, Q4 3rd and 4: a 4-yard touchdown catch from Cousins, worth +2.5 expected points.
  • Week 3 vs NO, Q3 3rd and 4: a 20-yard catch down the left side, worth +2.4 expected points.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.661

Success rate

69%

WPA (sum)

0.32

Opponent adj.

-0.005

Plays graded

13

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
2.4
Cushion
7.2
YAC above exp
+0.7
YAC / rec
3.1
Expected YAC
2.5
Air yards share
16.1%
Intended air yds
8.9
Catch %
71.4%
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
1 game1310116127.65579%0%89.6

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · NO1310116127.65579%0%79.6