Is Josh Downs playing this week?
No injury designationJosh Downs has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the Washington Commanders.
Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET.
Checked Oct 3, 7:37 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.
Ask StatGrades about Josh Downs
Ask your own questionOur numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.
Fantasy football · Week 4
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Start. Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
Why we say start
- Projected 7.1 points, #18 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
- WAS's defense has allowed 25% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.
Recent form
Dashed line: the usual 4.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~26 pts
- Vegas line
- IND favored by 4.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- WAS vs WRs
- 25% more points
- Last game snaps
- 68%
All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →
Age
25
Height
5'9"
Weight
171 lb
College
North Carolina
Experience
3 seasons
Draft
2023 · Pick #79 (IND)
Status
ACT
Grade Breakdown
What do these mean?Why 75.0?
Downs' grade is driven by how much expected points he produced per target, which ranked 17th of 62 receivers. His other measures were solid but not enough to move the grade much. The sample is small, just 24 targets over 3 games, and his week 3 game against Houston was a weak one.
Lifting the grade
- EPA per target of +0.550 expected points, 17th of 62 WRs, lifted the grade.
- Week 3 vs HOU, 3rd and 9: a 24-yard catch from Jones, worth +3.0 expected points.
- Week 1 vs BAL, 3rd and 3: a 25-yard catch from Jones, worth +2.5 expected points.
Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).
EPA / play
0.545
Success rate
54%
WPA (sum)
0.55
Opponent adj.
0.005
Plays graded
24
Advanced stats
2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats| Week | Separation | Cushion | YAC above exp |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2.3 | 2.7 | +1.0 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 8.0 | +3.0 |
What do these mean?
- Separation:
- Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
- Cushion:
- Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
- YAC above exp:
- Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
- YAC / rec:
- Average yards after the catch per reception.
- Expected YAC:
- Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
- Air yards share:
- Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
- Intended air yds:
- Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
- Catch %:
- Receptions divided by targets.
Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.