WR#19

Xavier Hutchinson

Houston TexansHOUHouston Texans

20.2

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Xavier Hutchinson playing this week?

No injury designation

Xavier Hutchinson has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Dallas Cowboys.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:48 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
BENCH#54 WR this weekHigh confidence

Bench. Projected 5.5 points, #54 among WRs this week.

Why we say bench

  • Projected 5.5 points, #54 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
  • Upside: DAL's defense has allowed 20% more points to WRs than the league average.
  • Averaging 7 targets a game.
  • Played 54% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

5.5

Likely range 2–10: the middle half of outcomes

vs DAL · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 4.5 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs WRs
20% more points
Last game snaps
54%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

26

Height

6'3"

Weight

210 lb

College

Iowa State

Experience

3 seasons

Draft

2023 · Pick #205 (HOU)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 20.2?

Hutchinson's targets cost his team expected points on average, even against easier-than-average defenses, and that is what drove the low grade. The other measures were close to average for his position and barely moved it. This is a small sample of 21 targets over 3 games.

Lifting the grade

  • Week 1 vs BUF, 3rd and 10: Stroud's pass short middle went to him for 20 yards (+2.6 expected points).
  • Week 3 vs IND: a 28-yard deep right catch on 1st and 10 (+1.9 expected points).

Holding it back

  • EPA per target was -0.078 expected points per play, 48th of 62 WRs, and this pulled the grade down a lot.
  • Week 3 vs IND, 3rd and 4: deep right pass incomplete (-1.5 expected points).
  • Week 1 vs BUF, 3rd and 2: short left pass incomplete (-1.5 expected points).

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

-0.032

Success rate

38%

WPA (sum)

-0.02

Opponent adj.

-0.045

Plays graded

21

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
2.4
Cushion
5.0
YAC above exp
-0.9
YAC / rec
4.5
Expected YAC
5.5
Air yards share
28.1%
Intended air yds
13.9
Catch %
42.9%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
13.25.9-3.4
22.65.7+0.6
31.12.7+0.1
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games219120021.413864%0%20.2

Game log

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GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · IND635108.52954%0%36.6
Wk 2 · CIN933706.76581%0%26.5
Wk 1 · BUF633206.24456%0%30.6