Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Keaton Mitchell or Tyler Allgeier?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (5.8 vs 5.8). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Keaton Mitchell (50%).
Keaton Mitchell outscores Tyler Allgeier 50% of the time; Tyler Allgeier 50%.
RB, LAC vs DEN
5.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–9 · RB35 this week · Bench
Bench. LAC's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
RB, ARI vs DET
5.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–9 · RB36 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 5.8 points, 0.6 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| Keaton Mitchell | Tyler Allgeier | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8 | Projected points | 5.8 |
| 2.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.8 |
| 9.4 | Ceiling (a big day) | 9.4 |
| DEN -9% | Matchup | DET -8% |
| ~19 pts | Team's expected score | ~25 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.