Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Tyler Allgeier?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (6.0 vs 5.8). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Chris Rodriguez Jr. (51%).
Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscores Tyler Allgeier 51% of the time; Tyler Allgeier 49%.
RB, JAX vs PHI
6.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–10 · RB34 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 6.0 points, 0.4 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
RB, ARI vs DET
5.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–9 · RB36 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 5.8 points, 0.6 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | Tyler Allgeier | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0 | Projected points | 5.8 |
| 2.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.8 |
| 9.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 9.4 |
| PHI +4% | Matchup | DET -8% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~25 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.