Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Chris Rodriguez Jr. or MarShawn Lloyd?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (6.0 vs 6.4). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean MarShawn Lloyd (52%).
Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscores MarShawn Lloyd 48% of the time; MarShawn Lloyd 52%.
RB, JAX vs PHI
6.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–10 · RB34 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 6.0 points, 0.4 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
RB, GB vs CHI
6.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–10 · RB32 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 9.9 points last game against a typical 5.9 (trending up).
Side by side
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | MarShawn Lloyd | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0 | Projected points | 6.4 |
| 2.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.1 |
| 9.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 10.4 |
| PHI +4% | Matchup | CHI -9% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.