Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
MarShawn Lloyd or Woody Marks?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (6.4 vs 6.7). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Woody Marks (52%).
MarShawn Lloyd outscores Woody Marks 48% of the time; Woody Marks 52%.
RB, GB vs CHI
6.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–10 · RB32 this week · Flex
Flex option. Scored 9.9 points last game against a typical 5.9 (trending up).
RB, HOU at TEN
6.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–11 · RB31 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 6.7 points, #31 among RBs this week.
Side by side
| MarShawn Lloyd | Woody Marks | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.4 | Projected points | 6.7 |
| 3.1 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.2 |
| 10.4 | Ceiling (a big day) | 10.9 |
| CHI -9% | Matchup | TEN -3% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.