Skip to content

Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit

Ashton Jeanty or MarShawn Lloyd?

Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.

Our call

Too close to call

Too close to call on projections (6.0 vs 6.4). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean MarShawn Lloyd (52%).

Ashton Jeanty outscores MarShawn Lloyd 48% of the time; MarShawn Lloyd 52%.

Ashton Jeanty

RB, LV at NE · Questionable — ankle injury

6.0 projected PPR points

Likely range 0–10 · RB33 this week · Bench

Bench. Questionable — ankle injury.

MarShawn Lloyd

RB, GB vs CHI

6.4 projected PPR points

Likely range 3–10 · RB32 this week · Flex

Flex option. Scored 9.9 points last game against a typical 5.9 (trending up).

Side by side

Ashton Jeanty MarShawn Lloyd
6.0Projected points6.4
0.0Floor (a bad day)3.1
9.7Ceiling (a big day)10.4
NE -11%MatchupCHI -9%
~21 ptsTeam's expected score~23 pts
Questionable — ankle injuryHealthHealthy
Hot ▲Recent formHot ▲
LowOur confidenceHigh

Ashton Jeanty: Questionable — ankle injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.

Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.

Related matchups this week

The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.