Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Ashton Jeanty or Keaton Mitchell?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (6.0 vs 5.8). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Ashton Jeanty (51%).
Ashton Jeanty outscores Keaton Mitchell 51% of the time; Keaton Mitchell 49%.
RB, LV at NE · Questionable — ankle injury
6.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–10 · RB33 this week · Bench
Bench. Questionable — ankle injury.
RB, LAC vs DEN
5.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–9 · RB35 this week · Bench
Bench. LAC's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
Side by side
| Ashton Jeanty | Keaton Mitchell | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0 | Projected points | 5.8 |
| 0.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.8 |
| 9.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 9.4 |
| NE -11% | Matchup | DEN -9% |
| ~21 pts | Team's expected score | ~19 pts |
| Questionable — ankle injury | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| Low | Our confidence | High |
Ashton Jeanty: Questionable — ankle injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.