Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Alvin Kamara or Tyler Allgeier?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (5.5 vs 5.8). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Tyler Allgeier (51%).
Alvin Kamara outscores Tyler Allgeier 49% of the time; Tyler Allgeier 51%.
RB, NO vs MIN · Questionable — back injury
5.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–9 · RB38 this week · Bench
Bench. Questionable — back injury.
RB, ARI vs DET
5.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–9 · RB36 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 5.8 points, 0.6 behind #32, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| Alvin Kamara | Tyler Allgeier | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | Projected points | 5.8 |
| 0.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.8 |
| 8.9 | Ceiling (a big day) | 9.4 |
| MIN -18% | Matchup | DET -8% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~25 pts |
| Questionable — back injury | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| Low | Our confidence | High |
Alvin Kamara: Questionable — back injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.