Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Dak Prescott Or Matthew Stafford?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (17.2 vs 18.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Matthew Stafford (53%).
Dak Prescott outscores Matthew Stafford 47% of the time; Matthew Stafford 53%.
QB, DAL at PHI
17.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 9–27 · QB9 this week · Start
Start. Projected 17.2 points, #9 among QBs this week.
QB, LA at LV
18.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 10–30 · QB7 this week · Start
Start. LA's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
Side by side
| Dak Prescott | Matthew Stafford | |
|---|---|---|
| 17.2 | Projected points | 18.9 |
| 8.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 9.8 |
| 27.1 | Ceiling (a big day) | 29.8 |
| PHI -1% | Matchup | LV +9% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~26 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.