Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Bryce Young Or Matthew Stafford?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (19.0 vs 18.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Bryce Young (50%).
Bryce Young outscores Matthew Stafford 50% of the time; Matthew Stafford 50%.
QB, CAR vs TB
19.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 10–30 · QB6 this week · Must start
Must start. Scored 19.8 points last game against a typical 12.1 (trending up).
QB, LA at LV
18.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 10–30 · QB7 this week · Start
Start. LA's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
Side by side
| Bryce Young | Matthew Stafford | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.0 | Projected points | 18.9 |
| 9.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 9.8 |
| 29.9 | Ceiling (a big day) | 29.8 |
| TB +4% | Matchup | LV +9% |
| ~24 pts | Team's expected score | ~26 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.