Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Bo Nix Or Matthew Stafford?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (15.6 vs 15.5). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Bo Nix (50%).
Bo Nix outscores Matthew Stafford 50% of the time; Matthew Stafford 50%.
QB, DEN at CAR
15.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 8–25 · QB14 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 15.6 points, 0.5 behind #12, the last one we'd start.
QB, LA at WAS
15.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 8–24 · QB15 this week · Bench
Bench. Scored 8.3 points last game against a typical 18.4 (trending down).
Side by side
| Bo Nix | Matthew Stafford | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.6 | Projected points | 15.5 |
| 8.1 | Floor (a bad day) | 8.1 |
| 24.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 24.4 |
| CAR -7% | Matchup | WAS +20% |
| ~24 pts | Team's expected score | ~27 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.