Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Bo Nix or C.J. Stroud?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (14.9 vs 15.8). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean C.J. Stroud (52%).
Bo Nix outscores C.J. Stroud 48% of the time; C.J. Stroud 52%.
QB, DEN at LAC
14.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 8–24 · QB13 this week · Bench
Bench. LAC's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
QB, HOU at TEN
15.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 8–25 · QB11 this week · Start
Start. Scored 23.1 points last game against a typical 13 (trending up).
Side by side
| Bo Nix | C.J. Stroud | |
|---|---|---|
| 14.9 | Projected points | 15.8 |
| 7.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 8.2 |
| 23.5 | Ceiling (a big day) | 24.9 |
| LAC -15% | Matchup | TEN +5% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.