Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
C.J. Stroud or Jordan Love?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (15.8 vs 15.4). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean C.J. Stroud (51%).
C.J. Stroud outscores Jordan Love 51% of the time; Jordan Love 49%.
QB, HOU at TEN
15.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 8–25 · QB11 this week · Start
Start. Scored 23.1 points last game against a typical 13 (trending up).
QB, GB vs CHI
15.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 8–24 · QB12 this week · Start
Start. Projected 15.4 points, #12 among QBs this week.
Side by side
| C.J. Stroud | Jordan Love | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.8 | Projected points | 15.4 |
| 8.2 | Floor (a bad day) | 8.0 |
| 24.9 | Ceiling (a big day) | 24.3 |
| TEN +5% | Matchup | CHI +4% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.