Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
AJ Barner Or Mike Gesicki?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (6.1 vs 6.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Mike Gesicki (52%).
AJ Barner outscores Mike Gesicki 48% of the time; Mike Gesicki 52%.
TE, SEA vs KC
6.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–11 · TE18 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 6.1 points, 0.5 behind #16, the last one we'd start.
TE, CIN at BAL
6.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–12 · TE16 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 6.6 points, #16 among TEs this week.
Side by side
| AJ Barner | Mike Gesicki | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.1 | Projected points | 6.6 |
| 2.2 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.4 |
| 10.8 | Ceiling (a big day) | 11.7 |
| KC +7% | Matchup | BAL -21% |
| ~23 pts | Team's expected score | ~25 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.