Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Juwan Johnson or Mike Gesicki?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (9.9 vs 10.1). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Mike Gesicki (51%).
Juwan Johnson outscores Mike Gesicki 49% of the time; Mike Gesicki 51%.
TE, NO vs MIN
9.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · TE9 this week · Start
Start. Projected 9.9 points, #9 among TEs this week.
TE, CIN at MIA
10.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · TE7 this week · Start
Start. Scored 13 points last game against a typical 5.1 (trending up).
Side by side
| Juwan Johnson | Mike Gesicki | |
|---|---|---|
| 9.9 | Projected points | 10.1 |
| 3.6 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.6 |
| 17.5 | Ceiling (a big day) | 17.9 |
| MIN -28% | Matchup | MIA +28% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~25 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.