Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
AJ Barner Or Brenton Strange?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.2 vs 6.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean AJ Barner (51%).
AJ Barner outscores Brenton Strange 51% of the time; Brenton Strange 49%.
TE, SEA vs ARI
7.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–13 · TE15 this week · Flex
Flex option. ARI's defense has allowed 19% more points to TEs than the league average.
TE, JAX at BAL
6.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–12 · TE16 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 6.9 points, #16 among TEs this week.
Side by side
| AJ Barner | Brenton Strange | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.2 | Projected points | 6.9 |
| 2.6 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.5 |
| 12.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 12.2 |
| ARI +19% | Matchup | BAL -10% |
| ~24 pts | Team's expected score | ~25 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.