Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
AJ Barner Or Greg Dulcich?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.2 vs 6.8). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean AJ Barner (52%).
AJ Barner outscores Greg Dulcich 52% of the time; Greg Dulcich 48%.
TE, SEA vs ARI
7.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–13 · TE15 this week · Flex
Flex option. ARI's defense has allowed 19% more points to TEs than the league average.
TE, MIA vs DET
6.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–12 · TE17 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 6.8 points, 0.1 behind #16, the last one we'd start.
Side by side
| AJ Barner | Greg Dulcich | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.2 | Projected points | 6.8 |
| 2.6 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.4 |
| 12.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 12.0 |
| ARI +19% | Matchup | DET +50% |
| ~24 pts | Team's expected score | ~22 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.