Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Brenton Strange Or Dallas Goedert?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (6.9 vs 6.5). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Brenton Strange (52%).
Brenton Strange outscores Dallas Goedert 52% of the time; Dallas Goedert 48%.
TE, JAX at BAL
6.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–12 · TE16 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 6.9 points, #16 among TEs this week.
TE, PHI vs NYG
6.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 2–12 · TE18 this week · Bench
Bench. PHI's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
Side by side
| Brenton Strange | Dallas Goedert | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.9 | Projected points | 6.5 |
| 2.5 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.3 |
| 12.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 11.5 |
| BAL -10% | Matchup | NYG -13% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~18 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.